Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Article: Sho Time: Could The Twins Really Land Ohtani?


Nick Nelson

Recommended Posts

 

 

 

But, hey, it's still Minnesota. That in itself may be a deal-breaker to someone with aspirations of New York or Los Angeles.

Although ... he could choose Minnesota to get his feet wet in the MLB ... a more 'friendly' market and definitely less 'stressful' market ... 

 

I know, I know ... I just keep letting hope get in the way ... 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just tossing this out there: how much would that short right field in Yankee Stadium affect the decision of a pitcher to sign?

 

I took a quick look and all I can find is glowing reports about Ohtani with nothing that indicates what kind of pitcher he is. 

 

I almost have to believe that if Ohtani is a strike out pitcher, then he probably induces a fair amount of fly balls. 

 

At Target Field that might play well.

 

At Yankee Stadium, not sure that would be a good thing.

 

Just my .02. And we know how far .02 will go.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Just for the sake of argument, let's say Darvish and Ohtani sign here on the same day...

That passes Parise/Suter, right?

I would argue, other than actual championships, it's the biggest moment in MN Sports history.

 

Parise's contract was always considered a bad deal and has been considered one of the worst or the worst contract in the NHL over the past few years.  Let's hope Darvish doesn't make the baseball lists...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

This is the other thing that makes me skeptical about Otani wanting to come to MN:  Expectations.  Unless the Twins get another SP better than him, he will be their de facto ace, which might just be too much to handle his first season.   In other teams, there are clear aces

f he is as good as they say he is, he would likely be the Ace for most teams

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Although ... he could choose Minnesota to get his feet wet in the MLB ... a more 'friendly' market and definitely less 'stressful' market ... 

 

I know, I know ... I just keep letting hope get in the way ... 

 

Nothing wrong with a little hope. The national media is saying NY is the favorite, but there's really nothing but speculation to base it on (money plus lore). Ohtani is, without question, pursuing something other than money for this, which is what would normally make NY the favorite.

 

I wouldn't be surprised at all if Ohtani is not in NY, Boston, or LA come 2018. So yeah, hope away.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I worry about Seattle more than NY. Otani grew up during Ichiru's ten All-Star seasons there. Seattle got a ton of coverage in Japan during that time. In 2010, Seattle had a 14% Asian population, though only 1.1% Japanese. The downtown inner harbor zip code is 7.7 %  Japanese, a pure downtown area with a small population, but high rent housing and close to Safeco. It's also the closest location to Japan.

 

I think a lot depends on how money hungry Otani is and how much influence his agent carries. His agent is likely pushing NYC. 

 

NYC for the hard cash, Seattle for the comfort, and the Twins for the best spot to start his MLB career.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The agent is probably working on an under the board deal with the Yankees to give him a 100m extension after a few months here. I'm not joking. MLB.com had an article about it a few weeks ago about how MLB is really trying hard to make sure nothing like that is happening. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

This is the other thing that makes me skeptical about Otani wanting to come to MN:  Expectations.  Unless the Twins get another SP better than him, he will be their de facto ace, which might just be too much to handle his first season.   In other teams, there are clear aces

I don't think anyone's going to expect a 23-year-old with zero MLB experience to be their "de facto ace" right off the bat. But Ohtani might appreciate walking into a situation where he could potentially earn that label with relative ease. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yes, I tell him that he can expect to play 50 games at DH with additional pinch hitting time. He can play more if he can outhit Robbie Grossman.

 

I would think you would have to attach some conditions to this. If the guy can't flat out hit MLB pitching they have to have some sort of cutoff. Sorry we can't have a black hole in the order that puts the team at a disadvantage against all AL teams.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I would think you would have to attach some conditions to this. If the guy can't flat out hit MLB pitching they have to have some sort of cutoff. Sorry we can't have a black hole in the order that puts the team at a disadvantage against all AL teams.

I think you are not giving him enough credit as a pitcher. Getting him would be a jackpot. If it takes 50 games of a guy barely cracking .600 OPS to get him, oh well, I'll take it.

 

Look at it this way, he'll be conservatively a 4+ WAR player, more likely (IMO), a 6+ WAR player. Even if his bat is putrid for 50 games, it'll likely only subtract 1 WAR at worst, likely less. No brainer, IMO.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

I would think you would have to attach some conditions to this. If the guy can't flat out hit MLB pitching they have to have some sort of cutoff. Sorry we can't have a black hole in the order that puts the team at a disadvantage against all AL teams.

yeah, 50 games cutoff... I am sure that he is a grown up and will understand that if he is hitting .600ish OPS that the team is better off with Grossman and his .750 OPS.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm following this, I know the Yankees.

 

I think we have a real shot.  Here's why:

 

1.  Ohtani is a young man who does not subscribe to conventional thinking:  not in the way he plays -- wanting to swing both ways (arf), and in leaving Japan before it was financially advantageous.  Like, he's different.

 

2.  New York has very high expectations, huge, with media overkill and constant buzz, if not CRAZY pressure to perform.  So, here's this 23-year-old kid trying to do something that hasn't been done in the modern era.  Is New York really the right place for this?  The pressure, the need for success -- not just on him, but the new manager, Cashman, the Steinbrenners.  Bad scene, it really is for Ohtani.

 

3.  And, who is the new manager in New York?  Really?  Going to negotiate and sign a world-class Japanese two-way player and you don't have a manager right now?  It is what it is, but, that does not impress.

 

4.  Minnesota, for all its little warts, needs a DH and an Ace pitcher, just so happens.  If I am that kid, I say:  "They're young, they're rising, they need me, I have opportunity to establish myself in two-way credentials."  Bad English, comme ci, comme ca, but, I think Ohtani wants the right fit, in a myriad of ways.

 

5.  Price is not a factor.  This kid wants success, he wants to play baseball.  He understands that at 23, that's what matters.  Make your fate in the world's great game, and you will eclipse the sun and live happily ever after.  Play it safe and be a decent pitcher for the Yankees and you will live forever wondering, "what if"...

 

Twins got a chance here.  I consider them the favorites, after Mariners.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Nothing wrong with a little hope. The national media is saying NY is the favorite, but there's really nothing but speculation to base it on (money plus lore). Ohtani is, without question, pursuing something other than money for this, which is what would normally make NY the favorite.

A huge chunk of the media is based out of New York, so that could be a big part of the reason the national press is saying it.  The Yankees also won't be able to throw crazy money and years at this one like they usually do, so there is that too.  I can't say the Twins are going to land him, but the more I think about this thing, the more I think he won't be playing for the Yankees either.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

“Why do you build me up (build me up) buttercup, baby
Just to let me down (let me down) and mess me around”

 

Wonderful to see a true rendition of the oft messed up Foundations' lyrics.

Methinks the next stanza is more appropriate for the discussion in hand:

 

And then worst of all
(Worst of all)
You never call, baby
When you say you will
(Say you will)
But I love you still

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

I don't think anyone's going to expect a 23-year-old with zero MLB experience to be their "de facto ace" right off the bat. But Ohtani might appreciate walking into a situation where he could potentially earn that label with relative ease. 

 

Ahem.  Remember when Berrios was in AAA in 2016 and 2017?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Yes?

Yeah pretty much this. 

The idea that he would be under pressure because he was the 'best' pitcher on the Twins roster is a little silly.

If they bring in Ohtani and no one else, I'm pretty 99.999% sure they give Santana opening day 'ace' start if he is healthy.

There are a lot of reasons why Ohtani may not sign here, him being afraid of being the highest upside pitcher on the 2018 opening day roster seems like a stretch... 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Personally, I have a few reservations regarding Ohtani.  The guy seems to have a huge sense of entitlement.  It makes me wonder how coachable he'll be, and what sort of a team mate.  I have huge concerns about how he'll deal with adversity and real struggle.  It seems like he's coming in expecting things to be easy.  $20 million is a relatively small investment for a talent with that upside.  At the same time, we're entering an important stretch for our organization.  $20 mil can go to a big FA, a number of useful pieces, absorbing a contract in a beneficial trade, or extending a current or potential trade piece.  I'd be looking hard right now while everyone else is chasing the hype train.  

BTW, asking teams to write you love letters does not scream, "I want the small market and quiet life."  But I will say, he'd instantly be one of the biggest and most loved celebrities in Minnesota if he came here.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Personally, I have a few reservations regarding Ohtani.  The guy seems to have a huge sense of entitlement.  It makes me wonder how coachable he'll be, and what sort of a team mate.  I have huge concerns about how he'll deal with adversity and real struggle.  It seems like he's coming in expecting things to be easy.  $20 million is a relatively small investment for a talent with that upside.  At the same time, we're entering an important stretch for our organization.  $20 mil can go to a big FA, a number of useful pieces, absorbing a contract in a beneficial trade, or extending a current or potential trade piece.  I'd be looking hard right now while everyone else is chasing the hype train.  

BTW, asking teams to write you love letters does not scream, "I want the small market and quiet life."  But I will say, he'd instantly be one of the biggest and most loved celebrities in Minnesota if he came here.  

$20M signs a big FA for one season. Ohtani is under team control for 6 seasons that includes 3 arb controlled seasons.

Do you have any sources of this entitlement?

Ohtani is arguably the best Japanese pitcher (due to his younger age and high performance) and probably the 2nd best player (behind Ichiro) to ever come to the majors. I am not sure what you expect him to do that is different than he is doing.

I will disagree with the other poster above about Seattle. It would be a very good choice but don't they only have 500K in cap room. I understand that he is forgoing a lot of money coming over this season but that is a pretty significant gap between what a few other teams can offer.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Personally, I have a few reservations regarding Ohtani.  The guy seems to have a huge sense of entitlement.  It makes me wonder how coachable he'll be, and what sort of a team mate.  I have huge concerns about how he'll deal with adversity and real struggle.  It seems like he's coming in expecting things to be easy.  $20 million is a relatively small investment for a talent with that upside.  At the same time, we're entering an important stretch for our organization.  $20 mil can go to a big FA, a number of useful pieces, absorbing a contract in a beneficial trade, or extending a current or potential trade piece.  I'd be looking hard right now while everyone else is chasing the hype train.  

BTW, asking teams to write you love letters does not scream, "I want the small market and quiet life."  But I will say, he'd instantly be one of the biggest and most loved celebrities in Minnesota if he came here.  

I really don't get the same vibe you do about 'entitlement.' What specifically gives you that impression? And I disagree about the letters ... strongly ... I don't think it screams small or big market. What is screams to me is ... I want all the information you can give me about your organization and your facilities and your philosophy and your development and your coaches ... I want every, single detail in order to make the best decision for myself. And that the instructions specifically said not to include any monetary information whatsoever. While that's still a long way from thinking Minnesota might or might not have a shot at him, I don't find that one bit 'entitled.' Now, he might be ... I really don't know. I've not read one single thing about about him that would point me to that conclusion. If you have read something, please share it. The more information we all have makes for more interesting discussion.

 

As for where he might want to land, I really don't know. That's why this is all so intriguing and why it's difficult for me to keep my even keel going. If he were all about the money, wouldn't it have been smarter to wait a couple years and enter as a free agent and may the highest bidder win? So I'm wondering ... how important is the money to him? It would seem it's not the first priority which is another reason why what everything else a specific team has to offer is. And why I wouldn't rule out Seattle just because they have less pool money. But I don't know. Maybe he'll take the most he can get at this time. I just don't know. And it makes me crazy! :) That's my take.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Personally, I have a few reservations regarding Ohtani.  The guy seems to have a huge sense of entitlement.  It makes me wonder how coachable he'll be, and what sort of a team mate.  I have huge concerns about how he'll deal with adversity and real struggle.  It seems like he's coming in expecting things to be easy.  $20 million is a relatively small investment for a talent with that upside.  At the same time, we're entering an important stretch for our organization.  $20 mil can go to a big FA, a number of useful pieces, absorbing a contract in a beneficial trade, or extending a current or potential trade piece.  I'd be looking hard right now while everyone else is chasing the hype train.  

BTW, asking teams to write you love letters does not scream, "I want the small market and quiet life."  But I will say, he'd instantly be one of the biggest and most loved celebrities in Minnesota if he came here.  

 

I would suggest watching the 60 Minutes interview with Ohtani back in April. Any preconceptions you have about him and entitlement would be eliminated. He's a very humble person that lives in a modest dorm in Japan, so I'm not sure why you feel he has a huge sense of entitlement?

 

What teams has he asked to write him love letters? You mean when his agent asked how a team would use him? That's kind of important to him, since he is coming over early and missing out on nearly $100 million to be a 2-way player.... 

 

Honestly I think you're way off base on Ohtani.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have no idea what he's like. But, allegedly, one of the questions on the questionnaire was literally , "do you like me?".

That is impossible to believe. Pretty sure the question is “what do you like about me?” That’s a different, non yes/no answer, question.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
The Twins Daily Caretaker Fund
The Twins Daily Caretaker Fund

You all care about this site. The next step is caring for it. We’re asking you to caretake this site so it can remain the premier Twins community on the internet.

×
×
  • Create New...