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Article: Mauer's Renaissance Season


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and yet, look at his fWAR just as a Twin compared to Mauer's.....

 

And again, that's a stat that is going to be advantageous to players who didn't spend the downside of their career with the Twins since it's an overall stat and down years cut into it. Or am I missing something?

 

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And again, that's a stat that is going to be advantageous to players who didn't spend the downside of their career with the Twins since it's an overall stat and down years cut into it. Or am I missing something?

Neither Carew nor Mauer have/had a negative season of fWAR so it's a moot point.

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When we're talking greatest Twins should we penalize guys for sticking around to the end? That hardly seems fair,

 

Yes, in fact this comes up often in "Is this player HOF-worthy?" conversations.

 

Even below average players can have a positive WAR.  If a guy sticks around at the end of his career for 7 years with 1-2 WAR each year, he has padded his WAR 7-14 points along with all of his other stats.

 

Take a look at Pete Rose's WAR v. WAA. Rose lost 14 WAA over his last 6 years, but only about 1 point of WAR. Nevertheless he padded his other stats a lot over those last 6 years, in spite of being useless.

 

Or look at it this way.  If a serviceable infielder puts up 2 WAR a year but is very popular and plays for 20 years, he has 40 WAR.  Kirby Puckett had 50 WAR. Switch to WAA.  Puckett drops to 25 WAA but the "serviceable infielder" drops to the single digits.

 

But if you don't want an uberstat and only want to go by peak WAR years, JAWS exists for you.  JAWS looks at the best 7 years of WAR and then compares it to players at the same position.  However, we can ignore the "same position player" part and just look at 7-year peak WAR.

 

WAR in peak 7 years:

 

Carew:  49.7

Oliva:  38.6

Mauer:  38.5

Killebrew:  38.1

Puckett:  37.5

 

If we want to go full-on JAWS, here are the numbers:

 

Carew:  65.4

Killebrew:  49.2

Mauer:  45.8

Puckett: 44.2

Oliva:  40.8

 

Killebrew was great, the first Twins player in the HOF and it was well deserved, but it's really hard to find a way to slice the data that says that he was better than Carew.

Edited by Doomtints
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