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Article: Official Twins Daily July Trade Deadline Day Thread


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The Yankees gave up their 3rd and 7th best prospect for Gray. The other guy was outside the top 20.

None of them are currently on the MLB.com top 100.

Gray has a career 3.43 ERA and has 2 more years of control. Maybe we should have traded for him.

 

Plus $1.5 million in international bonus slot cash.

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I'm having a very difficult time figuring out what your goal is by trading Kepler. To get a minor league prospect? Trades like that just don't happen. Kepler is more or less still a prospect himself. I'm not sure I have ever heard of a prospect for prospect trade. A proven MLB pitcher? For Kepler? Now? No way. He's not going to fetch that kind of a return. Not controllable AND proven. You could probably get a rental for Kepler, but why do that?

 

Kepler has the best OPS vs RHP of ANYONE on the Twins roster. Including Sano and Rosario. Literally, the only flaw in his game is not being able to hit LHP at ALL. Against RHP, he hits for avg and power. His BB walk rate is good. His K rate is fine. If the Twins coaches can't help Kepler improve vs LHP, they need different coaches. Kepler will probably never hit LHP as well as RHP. Most lefties don't. But he doesn't need to either. He just needs to be serviceable vs LHP. Even a modest .600 OPS vs LHP would make his overall numbers outstanding. Kepler has a .190 BABIP vs LHP. That would seem to suggest he's had some bad luck against them this year as well. Some of it is being a predictable pull hitter, true enough. But .190? That's insanely low. Just doing a little "what if" math, if Kepler had a BABIP of .275 vs LHP, even with no additional walks or extra base hits, his OPS vs LHP would be close to .600. That works out to 6 scratch/bloop/worm burner singles instead of outs.

 

Morneau didn't hit LHP that well right away either. I don't think he was ever sub .400 OPS against them, but I also don't think Kepler is going to continue being THAT bad against them. It wasn't until Morneau had been in the league 3 years that he started hitting LHP well.

People are putting him in the same class as Buxton and Sano. His rep around the league still fits that for now. GMs make snap trades at the deadline they wouldn't make in the off-season. Sonny Gray was on the list. If you can't get that sort of value, he shouldn't be traded. But then realize, your analysis of Kepler seems to be higher than reasonable respective to the market.

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Sadly, it looks like some of the Twins players - Grossman, Escobar/Adrienza, Gimenez, Belisle will only be spare part acquisitions (really, these are bench guys or back of the bullpen guys) - will only draw interest when they hit the waiver wire, and be interesting to see if any of the teams in contention will make a play for them.

 

Otherwise, it is on to the off season.

 

I'm already looking forward to seeing what the Twins roster looks like come September call-up time!

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The Yankees gave up their 3rd and 7th best prospect for Gray. The other guy was outside the top 20.

None of them are currently on the MLB.com top 100.

Gray has a career 3.43 ERA and has 2 more years of control. Maybe we should have traded for him.

 

on Fangraphs, it was 4, 6, and 7 on their list.....

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MLB ticket just showed that the twins would habe had another year of control on Kintzler if we had waited 1 more week to call him up. Ouch.

Can't we just send him down for a week next time he blows a save?

Or does he not have options?

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