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Article: Part 1: Seth's Midseason Top 40 Twins Prospects (31-40)


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The system is weaker than a few years ago.

Most definitely, it lacks top end talent. Might be deeper in C+ level guys though.

 

I would gladly trade depth for top end guys.

Edited by drjim
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Quite frankly, I've never been a fan of these "prospect lists".  You have some guys barely out of low-A, on the same list as guys in AAA.  Baseball is such a volatile sport.  In my mind, a player shouldn't even be considered a Top Prospect until they've had at least a season of AA under their belt, and the path to the Majors is clear.  Unless their next stop is The Show, an 18 year old has WAY too much to prove before being considered top of anything.  

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Melotakis is my shock guy on this list.  I keep hearing that he is ready for MLB, but how can that be if he is this low on the list.  I expect to see the list get more and more MLB ready as it goes up in number. 

 

That's not really how prospect lists go though... they have little to do with MLB ready and about projecting potential ceiling. Hildenberger is pretty much ready too. 

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Quite frankly, I've never been a fan of these "prospect lists".  You have some guys barely out of low-A, on the same list as guys in AAA.  Baseball is such a volatile sport.  In my mind, a player shouldn't even be considered a Top Prospect until they've had at least a season of AA under their belt, and the path to the Majors is clear.  Unless their next stop is The Show, an 18 year old has WAY too much to prove before being considered top of anything.  

 

A better prospect is one that has a higher expected MLB value. A guy with MLB potential in rookie ball is a better prospect than one without MLB potential in AA. You can't have much of a prospect list if you exclude most of the prospects.

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Curios why Melotakis moved down from his pre-season ranking when it looks like he's been pitching really well this season? It just seems strange that a guy who by all accounts has good stuff and is successful wouldn't be higher on the list.

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Quite frankly, I've never been a fan of these "prospect lists".  You have some guys barely out of low-A, on the same list as guys in AAA.  Baseball is such a volatile sport.  In my mind, a player shouldn't even be considered a Top Prospect until they've had at least a season of AA under their belt, and the path to the Majors is clear.  Unless their next stop is The Show, an 18 year old has WAY too much to prove before being considered top of anything.  

There's a general appreciation by the professionals for the relative value of prospects at every level, and how to compare them. There is no reason we fans can't attempt the same for our amusement.

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Quite frankly, I've never been a fan of these "prospect lists".  You have some guys barely out of low-A, on the same list as guys in AAA.  Baseball is such a volatile sport.  In my mind, a player shouldn't even be considered a Top Prospect until they've had at least a season of AA under their belt, and the path to the Majors is clear.  Unless their next stop is The Show, an 18 year old has WAY too much to prove before being considered top of anything.  

What fun would that be?

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Going off the stats and what's been said here, Hildenberger should be getting his first shot in the majors very soon, if not right now. He's ready, he's healthy, he's proven himself in AAA, so let's see what he can do in the majors. They could really use him.

 

Also, will Melotakis be getting a promotion to AAA soon? I might just be looking at his stats, but I think he should be getting his feet wet in AAA soon.

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  • 2 weeks later...

 

Prospect rankings are always fun. I choose to update my personal Top 40 Twins prospect rankings before the draft, before an influx of 25 or so new prospects. Obviously the draft, particularly the #1 overall pick but also several others in the top rounds, will affect any organization’s rankings. 
 

Appreciated this series very much Seth. Was just thinking about the rankings and the draft. At the beginning of the season, there was quite a bit of discussion about the lack of top-end talent in the Twins system - though overall having pretty good depth. Many seemed to think that the #1 draft pick would immediately vault to the top of the Twins prospect list. With the season Gordon has been having though and his relative proximity to the majors, he seems to have a pretty solid lock on that position in my eyes. Of course opinions will vary and it depends some on who the Twins end up selecting with the first pick, so I'm curious to see where the #1 pick (and #35 and #37) will rank among the Twins prospects.

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Appreciated this series very much Seth. Was just thinking about the rankings and the draft. At the beginning of the season, there was quite a bit of discussion about the lack of top-end talent in the Twins system - though overall having pretty good depth. Many seemed to think that the #1 draft pick would immediately vault to the top of the Twins prospect list. With the season Gordon has been having though and his relative proximity to the majors, he seems to have a pretty solid lock on that position in my eyes. Of course opinions will vary and it depends some on who the Twins end up selecting with the first pick, so I'm curious to see where the #1 pick (and #35 and #37) will rank among the Twins prospects.

 

Gordon would likely stay #1 if the Twins take McKay or Lewis... Could go either way regarding Wright. Greene would be #1. 

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