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Article: Regression For Twins Is Likely, But Not Inevitable


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And that should really be the "All-Star second baseman" who was supposedly worth more in trade than the Dodgers offered.  Unfortunately he sucks on big time situations, like today, when he came up with 2 on and 2 out twice and left all 4 on base.  But he has been great in hitting solo HRs when the game is not on line.  About addition by subtraction time as far as Dozier is concerned...

 

Someone is bound to fight this one and show the exceptions, but the numbers don't lie. Most of his homers are with no one on base or with the Twins win already assured. He could do some damage on the right team where people ahead of him are always on base, probably, but on the Twins he is useless. He is probably the least feared 40 home run hitter in history.

Edited by Doomtints
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Sure.  Those are 2 PAs from years past.

 

How about his 2 PAs today with men on? 

 

Or his .192 last season and .200 this season batting average in high leverage situations?

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Dozier drove in 99 runs last year and had an .856 OPS with RISP.

 

Which dropped down to .739 with 2 outs and RISP, .672 in high leverage situations, and .532 in "Late and close" situations.

 

That's what "we people" are talking about...

 

And BTW, Here is the big one about his HR last season:

Men on: 12 HR / 248 AB (20.7 AB/HR) .  Nobody on: 30 HR / 367 AB (11.5 AB/HR)

His career numbers: Men on 35 HR in 1104 AB (31.5 AB/HR), nobody on: 87 HR in 1732 AB (19.9 AB/HR)

 

Numbers do not lie.

Edited by Thrylos
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