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Article: 2017 Twins Player Predictions: Miguel Sano


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My guess is, if you are worried, his K's have been noticed by MLB GMs.

I said that's possible. Only takes 1 GM who needs a slugger. Talent like Sano doesn't come along very often.

 

We saw what Dozier would bring. Sano is more valuable. If Sano and Buxton go nuts, are we going to have enough pitching around them anyway? Where is the pitching going to come from?

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When I look at Cabrera and Ortiz I see K rates half of Sano.  Someone has to reach him.  

 

Though I am no expert, this is what I have been thinking. Our Miguel could benefit from viewing lots of Detroit's Miguel's at bats, and realizing that he does not need to try to hit it 600 feet.

 

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PREDICTIONS

Miguel Sano: 553 at-bats, .253/.346/.506 (.852), 32 doubles, 3 triples, 34 home runs.

 

I think an injury will cut Sano's season short. But if he plays through the year:

 

.230 - .250 / .325 - .345 / .460 - .485

30 HR, 26 2B, 2 3B

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No facts to back this up but it seemed that in 2015 Sano got tougher in clutch situations and that in 2016, when the game was on the line his at bats just weren't all that competitive.    I agree with whoever says we don't need 600 foot home runs.   Fun to watch but 410 usually does the trick and generally down the line 360 is good.   It is telling to me that batters that over swing usually do it in an effort to pull the ball and pulling the ball over the fence actually requires less distance.

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No facts to back this up but it seemed that in 2015 Sano got tougher in clutch situations and that in 2016, when the game was on the line his at bats just weren't all that competitive.    I agree with whoever says we don't need 600 foot home runs.   Fun to watch but 410 usually does the trick and generally down the line 360 is good.   It is telling to me that batters that over swing usually do it in an effort to pull the ball and pulling the ball over the fence actually requires less distance.

 

In my opinion what will hold Sano back is his lack of focus, lack of dedication. He is clearly gifted but I don't think he will ever put in the work required to live up to his potential.

 

This does not mean Sano won't be good. He will smack a couple hundred homers in his career, but he could hit 500 if he put in the effort.

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This will most likely be another difficult year for the Minnesota Twins pitching staff.  The offense however will be another story.  Last year we had Dozier hitting 40 HR's that made watching this team somewhat interesting towards the end of the season.  

 

This year we will get to see Sano do the same thing: 541 at-bats, .260/.358/.510

31 doubles, 1 triple, 41 HR's 126 RBI's

 

Bonus prediction:  Park...When finally called back from Rochester on April 28th he ends up with 455 at-bats: .258/.335/.498  28 doubles, 2 triples, 39 HR's

 

BOOM!

 

 

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  • 3 months later...

 

I said before ST that he'd be an all-star this year.  Wish his ST had been better but I'll stick with it.  Something close to .265/.350/.520 with ok defense.  Top 10 in homers, close to what Seth's prediction is.

 

Finally, a thread where I can use these rose-color sunglasses that came in the mail...

This will be Sano's breakout year. All-Star representative, adequate defense. Flirts with 40 HRS. Draws nearly 100 walks. OPS close to .900

 

Winners! 

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