Pujols Turnaround

Curt · July 28, 2012

Mike Trout and Mark Trumbo are having remarkable seasons for the Angels but what about Albert Pujols? His poor start was well documented. What has happened since his poor start?

About the same time Plouffe began turning around his season, Albert Pujols was doing the same. In the past 62 games, Pujols has hit .326/.404/.622/1.027. If his final 62 games match the previous 62 here is how he'll end up:

[TABLE]

Split

[TD=width: 44, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]G[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]PA[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]AB[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]R[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]H[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]2B[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]3B[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]HR[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]RBI[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]BB[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]SO[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]SB[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]CS[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]BA[/TD]

[TD=width: 42, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]OBP[/TD]

[TD=width: 42, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]SLG[/TD]

[TD=width: 42, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]OPS[/TD]

< May 16

36

153

146

10

31

8

0

1

14

7

18

0

.212

.248

.288

.536

>= May 16

62

272

233

43

76

18

0

17

49

32

29

7

1

.326

.404

.622

1.027

Projection

62

272

233

43

76

18

0

17

49

32

29

7

1

.326

.404

.622

1.027

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]Total[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]160[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]697[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]612[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]96[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]183[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]44[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]0[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]35[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]112[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]71[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]76[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]14[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]2[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6].299[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6].370[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6].542[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6].913[/TD]

[/TABLE]

The Angels were 16-21 (.432) through May 15 and 39-24 (.619) since. If they continue at the .619 pace, they will end up with 94 wins.

Curt · July 28, 2012

How does Pujols compare to Trout and Trumbo since his turnaround?

[TABLE]

Player

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]G[/TD]

PA

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]AB[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]R[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]H[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]2B[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]3B[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]HR[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]RBI[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]BB[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]SO[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]SB[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]CS[/TD]

[TD=width: 36, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]BA[/TD]

[TD=width: 42, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]OBP[/TD]

[TD=width: 42, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]SLG[/TD]

[TD=width: 42, bgcolor: #E6E6E6]OPS[/TD]

Pujols

62

272

233

43

76

18

0

17

49

32

29

7

1

.326

.404

.622

1.027

Trumbo

63

269

250

35

75

9

3

21

53

17

53

3

.300

.346

.612

.958

Trout

63

290

259

64

94

15

5

13

41

25

51

28

3

.363

.421

.610

1.031

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]Average[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]

[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]277[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]247[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]47[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]82[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]14[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]3[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]17[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]48[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]25[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]44[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]13[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]2[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6].330[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6].391[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6].615[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6E6]1.006[/TD]

[/TABLE]

biggentleben · July 28, 2012

What will always get me about Pujols is that he still can get up and give you double-digit steals every single year. It is remarkable to me.

Bark's Lounge · July 28, 2012

Although it was hard to see Albert leave St. Louis (as the Cards are my NL team). I never had any doubts that he wouldn't suck all year. Maybe his best years are behind him, but I still see him hitting .300 and hitting 35ish HR's for the next 2-3 years. Pujols is the best player of this generation of Major League Baseball. If Pujols is indeed 32 years old, he is the last chance we will have for awhile to break the All-Time HR mark and make that designation legitimate again. Here's hoping to that!

Brock Beauchamp · July 28, 2012

I just realized that Albert is going to need a monster last third of the season if he's going to continue his 30 HR streak.

Curt · July 28, 2012

I just realized that Albert is going to need a monster last third of the season if he's going to continue his 30 HR streak.

Even with his terrible slow start, he is pretty much on pace for 30 homers (18 homers in 100 Angels' games = 29.2 homers per 162 Angels' games). To get to 30, he needs to hit 12 in the final 62 games, a pace of 31.4 per 162. Unless he gets hurt, that would be a pretty good bet.

powrwrap · July 28, 2012

Thanks for the info. I have Pujols and Trumbo on my fantasy team.

I think you need to post his projected year end stats.

FrodaddyG · July 29, 2012

Thanks for the info. I have Pujols and Trumbo on my fantasy team.

I think you need to post his projected year end stats.

You mean the ones in the initial post?

DaveW · July 30, 2012

You mean the ones in the initial post?

That is "season end" dumba**.

diehardtwinsfan · July 30, 2012

maybe there's some sort of unproven link between pujols and plouffe...

In all seriousness, Pujols has started out slow the last couple of years... it seems each year he starts out slow and picks up... the problem is that it's been taking longer each year for it to happen... Me thinks the Angels are going to be hating this contract in 3 years...

Brock Beauchamp · July 30, 2012

maybe there's some sort of unproven link between pujols and plouffe...

In all seriousness, Pujols has started out slow the last couple of years... it seems each year he starts out slow and picks up... the problem is that it's been taking longer each year for it to happen... Me thinks the Angels are going to be hating this contract in 3 years...

If not three, they'll be hating it not long thereafter.

Oxtung · July 30, 2012

If not three, they'll be hating it not long thereafter.

And it's not just the Pujols contract, although that is certainly the worst of the bunch. They already have $70-90 million per year committed through 2016 for 6 players. At this point most of those players are playing well but four and a half more years is a LONG time. I guess the one saving grace is most of those contracts will just be coming off the books when Trumbo and Trout are becoming FA eligible.

Curt · September 12, 2012

Angels have played 42 games since OP. Projecting Pujol's stats for final 20 games using the past 42 yields this:

[TABLE]

Split

[TD=width: 35]G[/TD]

[TD=width: 35]PA[/TD]

[TD=width: 35]AB[/TD]

[TD=width: 35]R[/TD]

[TD=width: 35]H[/TD]

[TD=width: 35]2B[/TD]

[TD=width: 35]3B[/TD]

[TD=width: 35]HR[/TD]

[TD=width: 35]RBI[/TD]

[TD=width: 35]BB[/TD]

[TD=width: 35]SO[/TD]

[TD=width: 35]SB[/TD]

[TD=width: 35]CS[/TD]

[TD=width: 42]BA[/TD]

[TD=width: 42]OBP[/TD]

[TD=width: 42]SLG[/TD]

[TD=width: 42]OPS[/TD]

Before May 16

36

153

146

10

31

8

0

1

14

7

18

0

.212

.248

.288

.536

Between May 16 and July 28

62

272

233

43

76

18

0

17

49

32

29

7

1

.326

.404

.622

1.027

Between July 28 and Sep 11

37

163

153

26

45

16

0

11

32

7

19

1

0

.294

.331

.614

.946

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]Projection of post Sep 11[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]18[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]79[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]74[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]13[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]22[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]8[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]0[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]5[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]16[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]3[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]9[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]0[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF].297[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF].325[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF].608[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF].933[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]Projected Total[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]153[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]667[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]606[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]92[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]174[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]50[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]0[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]34[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]111[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]49[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]75[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]8[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF]1[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF].287[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF].343[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF].538[/TD]

[TD=bgcolor: #E6E6FF].881[/TD]

[/TABLE]

Twins Twerp · September 12, 2012

Man I wish we would have taken Trout instead of Gibson

biggentleben · September 12, 2012

The most interesting part about his line this year to me is his bb/k rate. He's basically been a 1/1 guy most of his career, and while his strikeout number isn't high this year, having a near 1/2 bb/k rate this year is an interesting change for him. I'd want to see how his second year in a new league goes before predicting his decline, but that's definitely not an encouraging sign.

snepp · September 12, 2012

His BB:K rate is closer to 1:1 than it is to 1:2.

biggentleben · September 12, 2012

His BB:K rate is closer to 1:1 than it is to 1:2.

I was looking with the projections. Currently, he's about a 2/3 bb/k, which isn't bad, but it's still not close to his career, which was 4/3.

Curt · September 13, 2012

The most interesting part about his line this year to me is his bb/k rate. He's basically been a 1/1 guy most of his career, and while his strikeout number isn't high this year, having a near 1/2 bb/k rate this year is an interesting change for him. I'd want to see how his second year in a new league goes before predicting his decline, but that's definitely not an encouraging sign.

The first thing I noticed when I did the update was that he only walked 7 times in the last split. Combining that with the start of the season split, Pujols walked 14 times in 316 PA or a 4.4% rate. Ben Revere has walked at a 4.8% rate. For the record, Revere walked 9 times during the time period of the last split.

Pujols did have a better than 1:1 ratio during the 62 game stretch in the middle though.

Brock Beauchamp · September 13, 2012

Aaaaaaand he's at 30 homers. The streak is alive.

Willihammer · September 23, 2012

500th double tonight, tying him with John Olerud and Goose Goslin for 55th all time. The all time leader with 792, in case you're wondering, is Tris Speaker

http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/speaktr01.shtml

Curt · October 2, 2012

Albert Pujols hit his 50th double last night. This marks the third time Pujols has reached the mark tying him with Paul Waner, Stan Musial and Brian Roberts for second place. Tris Speaker did it five times.

notoriousgod71 · October 2, 2012

I would still have to say this season was a disappointment for him. He's going to be posting AROD (current) numbers before his contract is half over.

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