Article: What Would A Francisco Liriano Contract Extension Look Like?

[Mike Sixel]

I'd like them to trade him if they can get a legit 2B or SP prospect for him. Then use the FA money to fill the holes. The best of both worlds. However, they rarely do what I want them to do with players, so I'm not holding out much hope.

[greengoblinrulz]

under no circumstances should they not trade him. However, if they want to resign him in the offseason AFTER dealin him.....got no problem with it.

If they dont trade him, I hope he leaves as a FA & MN gets nothing

[James Richter]

I'm about 75% sure he would take that offer and run. I haven't crunched the numbers for next year's payroll, but I gotta think that handing $12.5M to Liriano leaves precious little for the other 3/5 of the rotation.

I think he'd take it, too. I can't see another team giving up a 1st rounder to offer a multi-year deal to a guy as inconsistent as Liriano (though somebody like San Diego might give up a 2nd-rounder, I suppose.) Whether or not the Twins should offer it depends on their risk tolerance. Everybody on John's list except for Sanchez has health/consistency question marks, but will probably get contracts that guarantee $10M or so per season for multiple years. Nick's right: the Twins can't get a higher-upside starter for less guaranteed money than Liriano.

 

If he pitches well for the remainder of July, I think the FO should plan on making him a qualifying offer after the season. Therefore, they shouldn't trade him for anything less than the value of the 2 comp picks. But, if somebody offers better value than that, by all means take it. If he's still around at the end of the season, let him choose between $12.5M for one year or a 2-year deal with an option - lower AAV, but more guaranteed money. But I wouldn't offer him an extension until after he's pitched well for 4 straight months.

 

As for the rest of the rotation, the Twins had better be planning on spending at least $20M for two starters. If recent offseasons are any indication, there will be something decent left at the $8M level in January.

[Guest USAFChief]

I think he'd take it, too. I can't see another team giving up a 1st rounder to offer a multi-year deal to a guy as inconsistent as Liriano (though somebody like San Diego might give up a 2nd-rounder, I suppose.) Whether or not the Twins should offer it depends on their risk tolerance. Everybody on John's list except for Sanchez has health/consistency question marks, but will probably get contracts that guarantee $10M or so per season for multiple years. Nick's right: the Twins can't get a higher-upside starter for less guaranteed money than Liriano.

 

If he pitches well for the remainder of July, I think the FO should plan on making him a qualifying offer after the season. Therefore, they shouldn't trade him for anything less than the value of the 2 comp picks. But, if somebody offers better value than that, by all means take it. If he's still around at the end of the season, let him choose between $12.5M for one year or a 2-year deal with an option - lower AAV, but more guaranteed money. But I wouldn't offer him an extension until after he's pitched well for 4 straight months.

 

As for the rest of the rotation, the Twins had better be planning on spending at least $20M for two starters. If recent offseasons are any indication, there will be something decent left at the $8M level in January.

Under the new CBA, teams signing FAs no longer lose draft picks.

 

And there would only be one comp pick, not two, between the 1st and 2nd rounds, if he turned down the Twins qualifying offer.

[jorgenswest]

From SBNation

 

"The Elias free-agent rankings system is dead. Free-agent compensation is not. In order for a team to receive compensation for losing a free agent, that free agent must have played with the team all season. After the year, the team must offer the free agent a one-year contract worth the average of the 125 highest salaries. If that free agent signs with another team, the other team will give up its first-round pick, unless it picks in the top ten, in which case it will give up its second-round pick. The original team will also gain a supplemental pick between the first and second rounds. In the event that there are multiple such picks, the teams will draft in reverse order of winning percentage."

 

http://mlb.sbnation.com/2011/11/23/2581637/major-league-baseball-cba-labor-agreement

 

According to the above, it is still two picks.