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Falling in love with... Eddie Rosario


jimbo92107

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Few things about Rosario:

 

- His BABIP is about where is has been when successful in the minors (around .370,) so I don't think that there is a matter for regression here.  This is the player he is when he is good as far as balls in play go.

- His is a contact guy.  Does not walk and does not strikeout much (other than in the bigs.) He can cut his K% to half as he adjusts and matures.

- He is nothing like Dozier who is a .250 power hitter with high OBP.  Rosario is a .300 hitter with .330 OBP at this best.

- He is nothing like Santana who is a .250 slap hitter with lots of Ks and .300 OBP.

- Rosario's ceiling:  Tony Gwynn.  Rosario's floor: Tony Gwynn Jr.  That's the kind of hitter he is.

- Really glad that he seems to put what happened last season behind him

 

A BABIP of .370 is basically unsustainable for any MLB hitter these days. Trout's career number is .358, Mauer's .346. The upside comp for Rosario would be Starling Marte, who has a .357 career BABIP and poor plate discipline. Marte though did much better in the minor leagues and has more speed.

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