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Article: What's A Realistic Timeline For Byron Buxton?


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I think Buxton is moving about as quick as we could have ever hoped, given last year.I think he will be up about mid June and would have likely been at least a Sept. callup last year and started this April.

 

Apart from plucking him from high A as a 19 year old (faster than Trout), this June is about the earliest he could have been up. 

Agreed.  Just throwing names out there.

 

Hopefully you are right about the mid June thing.  Should they send him up to AAA like Correa soon?

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Agreed.  Just throwing names out there.

 

Hopefully you are right about the mid June thing.  Should they send him up to AAA like Correa soon?

 

Given the circumstances, I would keep him in AA and promote him from there.  If you backill a spot for Rosario or more importantly Hicks in AAA, you would hate to be boxed into a positon where you have to demote Buxton back to AA, not be able to give someone that needs reps time, or promote Buxton earlier than you want to in order to make room (if someone else flops in the big leagues).   Robinson or Schafer could end up back in AAA too.

Edited by tobi0040
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There is no reason to promote Buxton to AAA in the first half of the season.  The difference between AA and AAA isn't that great and it's a good thing for Buxton to develop the camaraderie with the juggernaut of prospects in Chattanooga.  At mid season it's a possibility.

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There is no reason to promote Buxton to AAA in the first half of the season.  The difference between AA and AAA isn't that great and it's a good thing for Buxton to develop the camaraderie with the juggernaut of prospects in Chattanooga.  At mid season it's a possibility.

 

I agree, I see no compelling reason to put him at AAA.  I hope before mid-season he goes from AA to the big leagues.

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Are the Astros wrong to promote Correa to AAA?  Or is it just a case that he's dominating AA so much, and they're not quite ready to promote him to MLB, that they might as well move him to AAA?  I could see Buxton being in that position (or perhaps more likely, having a good but not quite otherworldly AA line, and the team wants to see how quickly he adapts to a new level/team before giving him the MLB call).

 

And of course as we are having this discussion, Buxton is 0-for-14 since his leadoff HR Monday...

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Are the Astros wrong to promote Correa to AAA?  

 

I don't think they are wrong, nor do I think the Twins would be wrong to put Buxton in AAA.  I just would not given that we have 3-4 CF types on the MLB roster and Arcia coming off the DL soon.  I would rather leave Hicks spot open because it is likely we will need to send someone down.

 

I don't want to promote Buxton just because Hicks or Rosario need to go down, or DFA and lose a guy.

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I would rather leave Hicks spot open because it is likely we will need to send someone down.

I wouldn't worry too much about the AAA CF "spot".  Hicks and Rosario were sharing it just fine.  Eric Farris and Wilkin Ramirez are both starting in Rochester right now, so yeah, they've got room for two more outfielders.  (And Daniel Ortiz in a 4th OF role there, if necessary, wouldn't be a travesty either.)

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Are the Astros wrong to promote Correa to AAA?  Or is it just a case that he's dominating AA so much, and they're not quite ready to promote him to MLB, that they might as well move him to AAA?  I could see Buxton being in that position (or perhaps more likely, having a good but not quite otherworldly AA line, and the team wants to see how quickly he adapts to a new level/team before giving him the MLB call).

 

And of course as we are having this discussion, Buxton is 0-for-14 since his leadoff HR Monday...

 

I don't think it's wrong but I do think it's pointless.  Perhaps they have a specific coach they want Correa working with.  Perhaps they have too many MI's in AA and are short in AAA.  Perhaps they want Correa to hit in the PCL.   There can be reasons but I don't see a lot of benefit from playing at AA/AAA in the first half of the season and then getting promoted vs playing half a season at AA and then getting promoted.

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I'm not sure what the problem is.  Hicks is the only CF'er.  I think it would be considered a major victory if Hicks was a .700 OPS hitter.  If he is doing that then the Twins won't feel as much pressure to promote him but a .700 OPS hitter isn't going to stand in Buxton's way when it's time to come up.

 

I think you're overestimating the front office if you think they'd use OPS to evaluate a hitter.  If that .700 OPS comes with a .265 avg, a .340 OBP and passable defense, I don't think the front office bumps Hicks, even if Buxton is lighting it up.

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On the Buxton-Correa front, the Astros are promoting one of their 2012 over-slot draft signings Lance McCullers Jr to MLB, direct from AA (after a shaky season at high-A last year):

 

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015/05/astros-to-promote-lance-mccullers-jr.html

 

As a LH reliever I'm guessing?

 

McCullers will be the 9th 1st RD pick to make it to the pros from the 2012 Draft Class...and 24th overall. 

 

http://www.baseball-reference.com/draft/?year_ID=2012&draft_round=1&draft_type=junreg&query_type=year_round

 

Edited by twinsfan34
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As a LH reliever I'm guessing?

 

McCullers will be the 9th 1st RD pick to make it to the pros from the 2012 Draft Class...and 24th overall.

 

http://www.baseball-reference.com/draft/?year_ID=2012&draft_round=1&draft_type=junreg&query_type=year_round

He is a RHP, and it is to start initially. He's had a very good AA debut this season, Berrios-type numbers.

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Buxton...after his little 'hot streak' (or hot week)...is 1 for his last 21 ABs, 3 K, 0 BB. Avg dropped from .270 to .235. 

 

http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t498&player_id=621439#/gamelogs/R/hitting/2015/MINORS

 

Chalk it up to a bad BABIP-related week, with a BABIP of .048 during this slump- his K% actually was 14%, lower than his season average around 18%..  And it looks like he's already begun to solve this mini-slump this evening, going 3-5 with a triple, double and single.

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