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Ridiculously Premature Enthusiasm for Kernels' 2018


Steven Buhr

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It's too early for this.

 

It's too early to be looking at which of the hundreds of minor leaguers currently a part of the Minnesota Twins organization might take the field at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Cedar Rapids this summer.

http://knuckleballsblog.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/LewisWatkins17-600x400.jpg

Tommy Watkins is moving up to AA Chattanooga to manage in 2018, but Royce Lewis could be back in Cedar Rapids to start the new season (Photo: SD Buhr)

 

It's definitely too early to get excited about the possibility of seeing the most promising group of prospects in Cedar Rapids since, perhaps, the class of 2013 (which included Buxton, Kepler, Polanco, Berrios and more) in the first year of the Kernels/Twins affiliation era.

 

Still, since it's been minus-10 degrees or so all day and I've had nothing else to do but watch a bunch of bowl games I generally don't care about at all, I'm going to share my excitement here anyway.

 

Even as the 2017 was winding down, I found myself taking mental inventory of which members of the playoff-bound Kernels might be starting 2018 in Cedar Rapids, as well. Then I started looking at the talent that was on the field for Elizabethton's Appalachian League champion club and projecting a few that were likely to get their first exposure to full-season minor league ball with the Kernels in 2018

 

All of that informal mental note-making left me feeling pretty optimistic that the Twins would send a pretty competitive group to Cedar Rapids this spring.

 

The Kernels have qualified for the Midwest League postseason in each of the five seasons that Cedar Rapids has been affiliated with the Twins and it was fine to feel pretty good about that streak continuing in 2018.

 

But then it happened.

 

A box arrived in the mail over this past weekend and inside was the 2018 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook.(Click here to get your copy.)

 

I should have just glanced through it to make sure my name was spelled correctly everywhere I was given a photo credit, then set it aside for a few weeks until we were at least getting closer to the date when pitchers and catchers report for spring training in Florida (which is the date I unofficially consider the baseball season to begin each year).

 

But knowing how much work the authors - Seth Stohs, Cody Christie and Tom Froemming - put into writing the Handbook and how packed with great content about every Twins minor league affiliate and literally every minor league player currently under contract to the Twins, well, just giving the book a glance through was something I couldn't limit myself to.

 

So I started reading. The authors have some great articles in there, reflecting not only their knowledge of the Twins organization, but their writing skills, as well. I probably should have just read those feature articles and, perhaps, about their selections for Twins Minor League Hitter, Starting Pitcher and Relief Pitcher of the Year Awards. (All three are Kernels alums, by the way.)

 

But that wasn't enough. Not when we're in the middle of a several-day stretch of sub-zero temperatures.

 

I give myself some credit, though. I didn't read EVERY one of the player features in their entirety. It's far too early in the year to do that.

 

No, I only read the features of those players that the authors suggested have some chance of playing ball for the Kernels in 2018.

 

I think there were about 60 of them. That may seem like a lot, given teams are limited to a 25-man roster, but it's really only a little bit more than the 50 or so that you might typically see come through any MWL roster in any given season.

 

Still, not all of them will wear Kernels uniforms this season. They mentioned 28, I think, that have played for the Kernels already that may return. That would be unusual. Some of those will start the season with a promotion to Ft. Myers, some could be injured or traded during spring training and some, unfortunately, could be released by the Twins before the season starts. That's just the harsh reality of professional baseball.

 

But many of the players who WILL be coming to Cedar Rapids, either to start the season or as replacements during the course of the summer, have some very impressive backgrounds and credentials.

 

The Kernels could feature not one, but two first-round draft choices.

 

Shortstop Royce Lewis, who was the first overall pick of the 2017 MLB amateur draft, spent most of the last month of the 2017 season with the Kernels and likely will start the 2018 season in Cedar Rapids as well. He could well be joined by the Twins' 2016 first round pick, outfielder Alex Kirilloff, who had been expected to spend time with the Kernels last year, but missed the entire 2017 season following elbow surgery.

 

Of course, both Lewis and Kirilloff got big signing bonuses as top draft picks, but they aren't likely to be the only million+ dollar bonus babies to put on Kernels uniforms in 2018.

 

While Lewis is likely to see a mid-season promotion if his play develops as we'd expect it to, the Twins have another millionaire shortstop ready to step into his shoes - and position - with the Kernels. Wander Javier got $4 million to sign as an International Free Agent in 2015.

 

A couple of teenaged pitchers could eventually find their ways to Cedar Rapids, though are perhaps less likely to start the season there. The Twins' 2017 second and third round draft picks, Blayne Enlow and Landon Leach, each got bonuses in excess of a million dollars to sign with the Twins, rather than play college ball.

 

While he didn't get it from the Twins, catcher David Banuelos also got a million dollars to sign with the Mariners as their 2017 third round pick. He was acquired by the Twins in December.

 

If Banuelos is assigned to Cedar Rapids, the Kernels could potentially have quite an impressive 1-2 punch behind the plate, since it would not be surprising to see Ben Rortvedt (who signed for $900,000 as the Twins' 2nd round pick in 2016) also return to start the season.

 

In addition to Rortvedt, seven additional likely (or at least potential) 2018 Kernels pulled down signing bonuses of between $400,000 and $900,000, Those include some pretty heralded prospects such as outfielder Akil Baddoo and infielder Jose Miranda, both of which were "Compensation B" round (between 2nd and 3rd rounds) selections by the Twins in 2016.

 

http://knuckleballsblog.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/Rortvedt2017d-600x400.jpg

Twins 2nd round draft pick in 2016 Ben Rortvedt could well begin 2018 behind the plate for Cedar Rapids. (Photo: SD Buhr)

 

Of course, signing bonuses aren't what matter the most once these guys get on the field. No matter what you got paid, what matters is what you do between the lines when you get a chance. Still, when you're looking at young players with limited professional experience to base judgements on, bonus money and draft position are simple means of projecting the level of talent any particular roster might consist of.

 

In addition to those already listed, the 2018 Kernels roster could include, at some point:

  • Two 4th round picks (pitcher Charlie Barnes - 2017, and third baseman/outfielder Trey Cabbage - 2015, both of whom spent time with the Kernels in 2017) and a 5th rounder (third baseman Andrew Bechtold).
  • Six-figure International Free Agent signees like pitcher Jose Martinez ($340K in 2013) and catcher Robert Molina ($300K in 2013)
  • Nine additional players drafted by the Twins in the top 10 rounds of drafts between 2014 and 2017,

That is a lot of potential. And it doesn't even include Edwar Colina, who was the Appalachian League Pitcher of the Year last season.

 

Are you beginning to see why I'm getting excited for the season to start already? I mean, if you're Toby Gardenhire, the recently announced new manager for the Kernels, you have to feel pretty good about the talent level that you're going to have to work with in your first year as a manager in professional baseball, don't you?

 

Of course, the fun thing is that, even with all of these "prospects" on their way to Cedar Rapids, we know that there will be several guys not found on anyone's "prospect lists" that will grab hold of their opportunity to play baseball for a few dollars and show everyone they can play the game every bit as well as the guys getting all the attention... and money.

 

It happens every season and it will happen this year, too.

 

Cedar Rapids hasn't won a Midwest League title since Bengie Molina caught 45 games for the 1994 Kernels. No, that's not as long as the drought the Twins have endured since their 1991 World Series championship, but it's long enough.

 

So pardon me if I get spend a few of these cold January days daring to get excited about Kernels baseball in 2018.

 

If that's wrong, just blame Seth, Cody and Tom. That's what I usually do.

 

(This article was originally posted at Knuckleballsblog.com.)

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Maybe Graterol at some point too?

 

Yes, I hope so. And most years, he'd have been mentioned as one of the top handful of prospects to possibly spend time with the Kernels. I probably should have. After getting to see Alex Robinson for much of 2017, we're spoiled when it comes to seeing near-100 mph fastballs. Graterol, from what I hear, could fill that need.

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I was thinking about this group right after MiLB was done for the year.  It looks like an all-star lineup to me.  Not sure what they come up with for pitching at least to start the year but they have the bats to be a very, very tough team to beat.

 

It can be a big jump from the Appy league to Cedar Rapids so no guarantee everyone starts out well but pretty much everyone in that lineup has the potential to be an impressive hitter.  

 

I can't get to Cedar Rapids to see them but maybe when the play in Beloit I can get there.

 

I am just as excited as you are.  I expect a lot of these guys to end up in Fort Meyers by the mid point so not sure about your championship aspirations.

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Thanks for mentioning pitching, Dman. Who else might start aside from Enlow and Leach?

 

By the way, I’m guessing Leach will start in a short season league, probably Elizabethton.

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I was thinking about this group right after MiLB was done for the year.  It looks like an all-star lineup to me.  Not sure what they come up with for pitching at least to start the year but they have the bats to be a very, very tough team to beat.

 

It can be a big jump from the Appy league to Cedar Rapids so no guarantee everyone starts out well but pretty much everyone in that lineup has the potential to be an impressive hitter.  

 

I can't get to Cedar Rapids to see them but maybe when the play in Beloit I can get there.

 

I am just as excited as you are.  I expect a lot of these guys to end up in Fort Meyers by the mid point so not sure about your championship aspirations.

 

Yeah you never know who will be around in the 2nd half of the season, but it's quite possible the pitching could be better than it is in the first. 

 

I've been without internet a couple of days, but thanks to all of you who took the time to read and especially those who left comments.

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If you want to see Lewis play in CR, get your tickets very early in the season.  I bought tix to go see Byron Buxton play in CR in May, 2013 (as I recall).  I jumped in the car, tickets held close to my breast with my wife in the (other) bucket seat to my right.  We motored the few hours from the Twin Cities down to CR to check into the hotel, excited as hell.

 

Well, turning on the news (with an adult beverage in my hand), I was informed that BB was promoted to Ft. Myers on that very day, and the resale value of my cherished premium Kernel Tickets had plummeted.

 

The good news was we saw a VERY entertaining game, in which the CRKs did nothing for several innings, falling behind, only to win in the late innings when some kid from Germany who had been injured and came off the disabled list the day before hit a home run.  Some of you may have heard of him.  Keplinger or something like that.  And that was after some Polanco guy had line driven himself on base.  Fast dude.  It might have been a walk-off home run.

 

Oh, I DID purchase a Bryon Buxton Cedar Rapids Kernels T-Shirt for a mere $18 the next day (yeah, NOT on sale but limited quantities, and in my size).  And NO, I will NOT sell it to you but when you see me at Target Field, you'll probably guess it was I who told this story.

 

Best of luck to the Kernels this year, whomever they may be!

 

(All events depicted are, well, reasonably well recalled.  Memos on inaccuracies may be sent to ....um, what IS my darned email addy, anyway?)

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Update to my ridiculously premature story.  The date was 6/25/2013. 

Polanco had a bases-clearing triple in the 7th.  Kepler did, in fact hit his first home run of the year that turned out to be the game-winner in the 8th (as well as an earlier double).  As if you care, here is the game story.

http://www.milb.com/kernels/news/kepler--polanco-bring-kernels-back-to-beat-bees-6-4/c-51712432

 

Polanco was Twins MiLB player of the week.

 

I'm just trying to figure out how this posting stuff works.

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I knew your May timeline was off a bit, but I was going to let it pass ;)

 

Interesting factoid I've mentioned before: Buxton and Kepler were on the CR roster together for exactly one series - the first series after the MWL All-Star game that June.

 

But, years from now, if/when you hear fans talk about how they saw those two play together in Cedar Rapids, you can be pretty certain they're being less than 100% accurate. Their only series together was a road series in Appleton. 

 

I figured it might be Buxton's last games with CR and I wanted to get an early look at Kepler, so I drove up for the series and I'm pretty sure I was about the only Cedar Rapidian in the ballpark.

 

I spoke with Terry Ryan for a bit and he told me that series was the first he'd seen of Buxton that season and he wanted to see him play firsthand before deciding on a possible promotion.

 

Guess he liked what he saw. They announced his promotion on the bus during their ride back to CR after the final game of that series.

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Yeah you never know who will be around in the 2nd half of the season, but it's quite possible the pitching could be better than it is in the first. 

 

It's quite possible that they hold on to a few arms in ExST so the weather can heat up in Cedar Rapids before they head north.  I'm all over this team as well, and I'm glad to see someone else thinking about Kernels baseball already too.  Rightfully so.  Getting to Elizabethton last year, was great.  "Old Lady Row" littered the air with cow bells as the bench cleared to the tone of a walk off single for the first game of the year.  Then culminating with the Appy League Championship.  Take the cream of that squad, add more talent in the likes of Barnes, Lewis, possibly Watson yet, etc. and we'll wrap up a first half championship by the mid-May.

 

When we first started our annual minor league road trips, Cedar Rapids was our first stop heading out of Minnesota.  Scott and the entire Kernels staff couldn't have been greater.  That's evolved into the first/last stop, and another weekend home stand or two throughout the summer.  Sprinkle in the MiLB package, and there's no excuse to miss a game.

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I am very bullish on the talent in the Twins farm system coming into this year. While you always want more there are some players who I am really excited about and I’m always curious about this breakout guys that nobody really expected.

I am also intrigued by young Gardy. I have to say I was a little surprised when the Twins hired him and a little glad as well. I’m going to be curious to see the new front offices new pitching oversight (almost all the pitching coaches are the same as last year with a little shuffleing) does with the development of these intriguing young arms. Also, can they do a better job of keeping them healthy?

I second the thought that you might need to get to an early game to see Lewis. Falvey and Co. seem to be a bit more aggressive at moving top talent forward than Ryan was.

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