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Is Paul Molitor Defensible For The Twins?


Ted Schwerzler

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After 103 losses, a franchise worst for the Minnesota Twins, the organization has cleaned house. Well, they have almost cleaned house. Derek Falvey has been brought in as the new Head of Baseball Operations, a new General Manager will be appointed, and Minnesota will look to turn the page on the debacle that was 2016. Owner Jim Pohlad has stated that his manager, Paul Molitor will return in 2017. At this point, is that comment, or the manager himself defensible?

 

The short answer is no, and the longer answer, well that's heck no. Here's the deal, Paul Molitor was a really great baseball player. He's a Hall of Famer with more than 3,000 hits. When at the plate, there was next to no one that could do it better than Molitor could. Unfortunately as a manager, the same level of success hasn't been achieved.

 

2015 saw the Twins beat all statistical projections to just narrowly miss the playoffs. They were playing well above their heads, and every number suggested regression. Because they didn't prepare much for it, that regression came and popped the Twins, as well as Molitor, right in the mouth this past season. While the deck was already stacked against them, Molitor made a habit of poor lineup decisions, a "not my problem" approach with struggling young prospects, and very little to hang his hat on.

 

At this point, the greatest defense to keep Molitor around is that he's a hometown guy, and is as much a part of the Twins organization as anyone. In a professional league that should be about winning and advancing, those things shouldn't be enough to save someone's job.

 

Now, to be fair, the impact that a manager has in the big leagues is marginal at best. The difference between the best and worst managers is significant, but between two good, or two bad managers is splitting hairs. Joe Maddon gets significantly more out of his players than Paul Molitor does, but he;s not that significantly more impressive than say Terry Francona or Dusty Baker.

 

With that in mind, the Twins have actionable areas in which they should be focusing on when it comes to the man that will lead their 25 man roster. Considering the youth that needs to be the backbone of the Twins future, utilizing, relating too, and developing that talent is an absolute must.

 

When a young guy struggles, the first course of action cannot be to simply send them back to the farm and make them someone else's problem. Far too often in 2016, Molitor seemed too far removed from his youngsters to squeeze anything extra out of them. More often than not, they were poorly positioned in the lineup, and then the developmental time in between falling by the wayside only compounded matters.

 

So, if the Twins are going to move on from Molitor, the focus should be in finding a personality that can handle the key areas differently. It's fair to wonder if owner Jim Pohlad will back off of his comments suggesting Molitor be guaranteed 2017. A 32 year old Falvey could suggest the change be made, but that might be punching above his weight class coming out of the gate. At the end of the day though, a non-baseball man like Pohald should focus on the business, and swallow his baseball comments that come from a place without much real knowledge.

 

Assuming that the Twins do actually clean house, and go with a new manager, there's a pair of possibilities I like a lot. Both Alex Cora and Gabe Kapler seem like they have the potential to be the next big thing among managerial ranks. Rather than simply recycling names that have held the position around the big leagues, Minnesota could go to a fresh perspective as they have done in the front office.

 

Both Cora and Kapler are former players. Cora has the background to relate to Latin players, while Kapler is widely regarded as one of the smartest people in the game. Kepler was considered for the Dodgers managerial role until Dave Roberts was handed the position, and there's more than a few teams that would do well to be in on Cora. Given each of their backgrounds, and the way in which they are positioned in relation to the Twins needs, either could be a fit.

 

Outside of that group, Sandy Alomar Jr. may make sense, and really even Doug Mientkiewicz could fit the bill. With Dougie Baseball, the biggest detractor is his familiarity with Minnesota. The Twins have often hired from within, and it's been to a fault at times. In this situation, that probably works against the Double-A manager. If Molitor sticks around, and is then let go mid-season, I'd love to see Mientkiewicz get an interim opportunity the rest of the way, if they are going to make a change prior to 2017 though, I'd prefer they look elsewhere.

 

At the end of the day, your list of reasons why the Twins should keep Paul Molitor includes him being from the same state, and false hope that 2015 masked. If that isn't damning enough for Jim Pohlad, it's something Derek Falvey would be well off to highlight for him. Regardless, Molitor has become indefensible for the Twins, and really, there's better candidates out there when it comes to fulfilling the Twins immediate needs.

 

For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz

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Not sure about Cora or Kapler. Neither has much coaching experience, right? After two years of Mollie, I'd like us not to go with another noob.

Maybe Alomar?

I like Dave Martinez personally.

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Molitor is a great player and all, a Hall-of-Famer who is known more for his work as a Brewer and even a Blue Jay, as with the Twins. He is a hometown guy, but although he gives a nice official presence, he is far from Mr. Warmth (of course, same can be said for Tom Kelly). 

 

I really don't how to react to the opportunity Molitor took playing basically Rochester Red Wings lineups the final weeks. But so many names on the disabled list (Rosario, Santana , Hughes, Perkins, Plouffe) and a roster still bloated with guys that have no business being given playing time (Schafer, Grossman, Boshers, sadly Centeno) or purely overworked (Dozier, Pressly, Tonkin) or not doing what they should be doing (Kintzler). There seemed to be a total lack of what this team could possible strive towards doing well.

 

You had your home run leader batting leadoff. You have your future leadoff man batting ninth, until the last game of the season. You have a mess with your potential third baseman. You have Duffey starting games and barely lasting a long relief stint, but not being tried in long relief. You jave guys in the minors who you needed to look at badly - Wheeler, Walker, maybe even Reed. Instead you have, again, Schafer, Boshers, and that comedy duo of Dean and Albers.

 

I think it goes back to before 2015 when Molitor was hired, than a coaching staff was put together, and names were interviewed and approved more by committee than the manager who, suffice to say, hasn't developed chronies like Rock Anderson or Dick Such. Maybe it is the thrown together coaching staff that also adds to the confusion.

 

Ultimately, what is the Twins Way anymore, except great views and good food at the most beautiful stadium in the league. That they seem to do right.

 

But, sadly, Molitor isn;t that same marketing kick that Torii Hunter was for the 2015 team in selling tickets or putting fans in the stands. Not sure he is even better than "come see the new guys" or "free beers with every strikeout by a batter".

 

But 100+ losses, few managers should be given an encore. If anything, you do find someone from outside who knows what they are doing, or totally go with that guy from the system who has worked with the players (assuming the new operations and GM don't clean house of prospects).

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Tom Thibodeau spent his year away from coaching traveling around the league observing a dozen other NBA franchises in operation and teaching himself new ways to build, prepare, and coach his team.

 

The Twins new front office should consider that Ron Gardenhire may have had a similar chance to reinvent himself in his time away.

 

http://stmedia.startribune.com/images/564*328/16twin021613gal.jpg

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I highly doubt this would put butts in the seats or change the "same old Twins" mentality amongst the populace. I expect to see some major turnover in the coaching ranks in the next year.

 

 

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Molitor had some help in his journey to 103. The Park signing, which morphed into Sano RF, and Plouffe still here, were out of his control. As was the SP. for that he gets my sympathy. But he loses all of that soft and fuzzy over his total lack of concern regarding the teams defensive shortcomings, his inability to define relief pitchers positions, his lack of rapport with younger players, his inconsistent attempts at discipline, his attraction to mediocre roster filler level vets, and his dart board lineups. Taken as a sum of these parts, and the fact that many of the same issues will recur next year, it's time to try someone else. While no one knows how that will work, most can be pretty sure how leaving Molitor in place will (not) work!

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Falvey needs to shake up the pitching staff throughout the system this winter. I hope he has Pohlad's blessing on a short leash for Molitor in 2017. A shake up during season may be necessary.

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The Phillies were in the same situation as the Twins: veteran GM who had success, HOF player struggling as manager, weak to no analytics, but moved on and turned over their management much more decisively.

 

The Twins have more developing talent at the same stage, including Sano, Buxton and Kepler, but they should not let that advantage to allow themselves to be half-hearted in addressing other weaknesses.

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Last year the Twins overachieved. I guess none of that was influenced by Molitor.

There is nothing saying that Molitor can not learn from his mistakes this year. There is also nothing that says Molitor can learn from his mistakes.

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