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Assessing the Twins' Risks in the 2015 Rule 5 Draft: Analyzing Each of their 40 Eligible Unprotected Players


Thrylos

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Originally published at The Tenth Inning Stretch

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The Twins announced that they have added LHP Taylor Rogers, RHP JT Chargois, OF Adam Brett Walker, LHP Randy Rosario, RHP Yorman Landa, LHP Pat Dean, and LHP Mason Melotakis to their 40-man roster. This leaves 41 players unprotected.

Here is a list of each of the unprotected players along with an risk analysis with the possibility that each player will get selected by another team:

 

RHP Jose Abreu

Age: 23

Height: 5' 11"

Weight: 170 lb

Highest Level: Rookie/Elizabethton

Acquired: Dominican Free Agent

2015 Prospect Rank: NR; 23th in 2014

Last season: 17 G, 26.2 IP, 6.8 K/9, 4.4 BB/9, 3.71 ERA, 4.68 FIP, 1.39 WHIP, .272 BABIP

Summary: Very raw player with control and command issues, but extremely tantalizing fastball with a lot of movement. Secondary pitches are work in progress and has declined last season after missing 2014 with Tommy John surgery. Interesting to see how he will bounce back. Highly Unlikely to be taken in the draft

Risk %: 5%

 

 

RHP Jason Adam

Age: 24

Height: 6' 4"

Weight: 225 lb

Highest Level: AAA

Acquired: Traded from the Kansas for Josh Willingham in 2014

2015 Prospect Rank: NR

Last season: Did not play/recovering from surgery 2014 AAA/AA: 29 G, 19 GS, 120.1 IP, 7.7 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, 4.71 ERA, 3.68 FIP, 1.41 WHIP, .345 BABIP

Summary: Was the Royals' 9th prospect according to Baseball America when traded. Mid 90s plus fastball complemented with an above average curve and works in progress slider and changeup. Starter potential. Unlikely to be taken in the draft because of the risk of the postsurgery unknown, but definitely has upside

Risk %: 30%

 

RHP Nick Anderson

Age: 25

Height: 6' 5"

Weight: 195 lb

Highest Level: A

Acquired: Signed as a Free Agent from Independent Leagues in 2015

2015 Prospect Rank: NR

Last season (A): 9 G, 0 GS, 12 IP, 9 K/9, 0 BB/9, 0.75 ERA, 2.73 FIP, 0.83 WHIP, .1945 BABIP

Summary: Minnesotan. Recent Independent League signing. 97 mph Fastball, but 2 years too old for the league and not too great secondary stuff. Definitely a project. Was there for the taking by any team and was not. Unlikely that he would be taken in the draft, unless someone sees him as a MLB-level project

Risk %: 15%

 

RHP Luke Bard

Age: 25

Height: 6' 3"

Weight: 195 lb

Highest Level: A+

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 1st round (42 overall) in 2012

2015 Prospect Rank: NR

Last season (A): 28 G, 0 GS, 52.1 IP, 8.1 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 2.41 ERA, 2.99 FIP, 1.15 WHIP, .303 BABIP

Summary: Once (2012) the Twins' 10th best prospect according to Baseball America. One of the many relievers the Twins drafted in high rounds with the hope to turn into starters and ended up having Tommy John surgery. Bard was out all 2014 recoving. But has regressed in every level previously. Last season he was adequate at A ball, but 2 years older than the average player there. So far a dissapointment, and not sure that there will be any takers.

Risk %: 10%

 

 

RHP DJ Baxendale

Age: 24

Height: 6' 2"

Weight: 190 lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 10th round in 2012

2015 Prospect Rank: NR; highest: 15th in 2014 offseason.

Last season (AA) : 23 G, 21 GS, 118.1 IP, 7 K/9, 3 BB/9, 3.80 ERA, 3.69 FIP, 1.40 WHIP, .317 BABIP

Summary: Baxendale is all about Command and Control. If that works, he is great, if it does not, he is not. Repeated AA this season at an age a bit younger than average. His fastball has been hittable by more advanced hitters, and this has been his main problem. Cannot make it as a junk ball righty. Lots of potential there, and has some history as a reliever, but I don't think that it is enough for anyone to spend a 25 man roster spot on him.

Risk %: 30%

 

 

RHP Omar Bencomo

Age: 26

Height: 6' 1"

Weight: 170 lb

Highest Level: A+

Acquired: Signed as a Free Agent from Independent Leagues in 2015

2015 Prospect Rank: NR

Last season (A+) : 3 G, 3 GS, 18 IP, 2.5 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, 1.50 ERA, 3.61 FIP, 0.90 WHIP, .196 BABIP

Summary: Another one of the Twins' Independent League signings. Started 3 games at a 26 year old at Fort Myers. Organizational depth and more of a candidate for release than a risk to be drafted

Risk %: 5%

 

OF Edgar Corcino

Age: 23

Height: 6' 1"

Weight: 210 lb

Highest Level: A

Acquired: Signed as a Free Agent from Independent Leagues in 2014

2015 Prospect Rank: NR

Last season (A) : .273/.340/.376; 373 PA, 4 HR, 9 SB, 34 BB, 91 K.

Summary: Yet another one of the Twins' Independent League signings. Started 63 games as a RF and 17 as a CF for Cedar Rapids. Not a prospect and not MLB-ready

Risk %: 15%

 

 

RHP Sam Gibbons

Age: 21

Height: 6' 4"

Weight: 190 lb

Highest Level: A

Acquired: Signed as an International Free Agent from Australia in 2011

2015 Prospect Rank: NR

Last season (A) : 15 G, 15 GS, 90.1 IP, 6.8 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 2.89 ERA, 3.14 FIP, 1.185 WHIP, .196 BABIP

Summary: Gibbons has been improving each season and jumping a level a season. High A ready, but not MLB-ready. Little risk of being taken in the MLB portion of the draft, might want to protect him in the minor league portion of the draft.

Risk %: 25%

 

RHP Miguel Gonzalez

Age: 21

Height: 6' 1"

Weight: 180 lb

Highest Level: Rookie (GCL)

Acquired: Signed as an International Free Agent from Dominican Republic in 2011

2015 Prospect Rank: NR

Last season (Rookie/GCL) : 15 G, 3 GS, 39.2 IP, 9.1 K/9, 1.6 BB/9, 1.59 ERA, 2.12 FIP, 0.981 WHIP, .271 BABIP

Summary: Third time is the charm, since threepeating the GCL, Gonzalez have found himself, by improving his mechanics and control. Still very young. Little risk of being taken in the MLB portion of the draft, might want to protect him in the minor league portion of the draft.

Risk %: 15%

 

 

IF Niko Goodrum

Age: 23

Height: 6' 3"

Weight: 167 lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 2nd round of 2010

2015 Prospect Rank: NR; 27th in 2014

Last season (AA) : .244/.332/.392; 238 PA, 5 HR, 18 SB, 28 BB, 51 K.

Summary: Goodrum is still young, but the expectations for the former second round draft pick have been higher than his performance so far. Declining performance at 3B, where he switch from SS, but adding CF to his repertoir and seeing more (and better defensively) games at SS in 2015. Someone might pick him up as a utility player/PR, but he is not ready to perform with his bat.

Risk %: 35%

 

1B Bryan Haar

Age: 25

Height: 6' 3"

Weight: 215 lb

Highest Level: A+

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 34th round of 2012

2015 Prospect Rank: NR.

Last season (A+) : .249/.317/.323; 284 PA, 1 HR, 1 SB, 21 BB, 61 K.

Summary: Organizational depth at this point, and as a 25 year old in high A ball, he is more of a candidate to be cut than drafted.

Risk %: 5%

 

OF Travis Harrison

Age: 23

Height: 6' 1"

Weight: 215 lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 1st round (50th overall) of 2011

2015 Prospect Rank: 14th

Last season (AA) : .240/.363/.356; 479 PA, 5 HR, 3 SB, 65 BB, 102 K.

Summary: Harrison has been taken a step up in level every year in his professional career, but also has been taking a step back in performance. Last season was his worst so far as a pro. Still more than 2 years young in AA, he is in the top prospect conversation and he might be a season or two away from a breakthrough; however, he is not major league ready at this point and I cannot see someone drafting him, but the potential is there.

Risk %: 40%

 

 

1B DJ Hicks

Age: 25

Height: 6' 5"

Weight: 245 lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 17th round of 2012

2015 Prospect Rank:NR, 2014: 24th

Last season (AA) : .227/.320/.351; 259 PA, 6 HR, 1 SB, 32 BB, 66 K.

Summary: Hicks' strongest tool is his power, and he has seen a drastic decline as he has been climbing minor league levels, something that he did with regularity. Bothered with injuries this season. It is unlikely that he will be drafted, he needs another good year to be MLB-ready.

Risk %: 25%

 

LHP David Hurlbut

Age: 25

Height: 6' 3"

Weight: 221 lb

Highest Level: AAA (one game)

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 28th round of 2011

2015 Prospect Rank: NR

Last season (A+/AA/AAA) : 20 G, 19 GS, 119 IP, 5.3 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 3.78 ERA, 3.67 FIP, 1.333 WHIP, .311 BABIP

Summary: Hurlbut had a decent AA season, he is left-handed and a pitch to contact guy. Someone might think that converting him to a reliever might improve his numbers. As with any lefty, there are always some possibilities that someone will pull the trigger, but there are better options out there.

Risk %: 45%

 

RHP Cole Johnson

Age: 27

Height: 6' 3"

Weight: 200 lb

Highest Level: AAA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 44th round of 2011

2015 Prospect Rank: NR

Last season (A+/AA/AAA) : 35 G, 0 GS, 52 IP, 8.3 K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 3.18 ERA, 3.66 FIP, 1.404 WHIP, .331 BABIP

Summary: Cole Johnson is MLB-ready. Heavy singer sitting at 89-92, good slider. Command of his fastball is crucial. Tale of 2 places season, better at AA than AAA. Might be due to the fact of game calling by catchers at AAA as well. Can be in a major league pen right now.

Risk %: 70%

 

RHP Zack Jones

Age: 24

Height: 6' 1"

Weight: 185 lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 4th round of 2012

2015 Prospect Rank: NR; 2014: 19th

Last season (A+/AA) :45 G, 0 GS, 51.2 IP, 11.8 K/9, 4.9 BB/9, 4.53 ERA, 3.32 FIP, 1.277 WHIP, .288 BABIP

Summary: Zach Jones is a fireballer with a major league 99 mph fastball, but with iffy control due to his mechanics (which have been the source of nagging injuries,) and an average slider that sometimes is much better than average, but it is an inconsistent pitch. Much better performance at Fort Myers than at Chatanooga. Still can strike people out and non contenders with pitching coaches who would love a challenge might wink at that heater.

Risk %: 75%

 

RHP Felix Jorge

Age: 21

Height: 6' 2"

Weight: 170 lb

Highest Level: A

Acquired: Signed as an International Free Agent from Dominican Republic

2015 Prospect Rank: 29th

Last season (A) :23 G, 22 GS, 142 IP, 7.2 K/9, 2 BB/9, 2.79 ERA, 3.54 FIP, 1.056 WHIP, .267 BABIP

Summary: Jorge has 4 pitches that can be plus at different times. He just has not put it all together. Second time at Cedar Rapids (still at an age younger than league average) was better. Fastball used to live around 95 earlier in his career, but endurance had been an issue. This kid has a lot of potential. He is not major league ready by any means, but the Twins are betting nobody pulls a Santana on them. However someone might.

Risk %: 50%

 

OF Marcus Knecht

Age: 25

Height: 6' 1"

Weight: 200 lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Signed as a Minor League free agent in 2015

2015 Prospect Rank:NR

Last season (A+/AA) : .221/.320/.310; 465 PA, 2 HR, 15 SB, 51 BB, 103 K.

Summary: The definition of organization depth. Not sure why the Twins re-signed him. Cannot see a team taking a chance for any reason

Risk %: 2%

 

LHP Brett Lee

Age: 25

Height: 6' 4"

Weight: 206 lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 10th round of 2011

2015 Prospect Rank: N/A

Last season (A+/A) :22 G, 22 GS, 134 IP, 4.4 K/9, 2.8 BB/9, 3.16 ERA, 3.62 FIP, 1.239 WHIP, .277 BABIP

Summary: Even though Lee posted before average numbers, his stuff is pretty average, other than pitching to contact, which is his bread and butter. Very low strikeout and walk numbers, so his success (or lack of) would have to depend on his ability to induce ground balls. And he is not ready for the majors at this point. But he is a living and breathing lefty. On the other hand, there are better option for those as well...

Risk %: 30%

 

RHP Kuo-Hua Lo

Age: 22

Height: 5'10"

Weight: 195lb

Highest Level: Rookie (Elizabethton)

Acquired: Signed as an International Free Agent from Taiwan

2015 Prospect Rank: N/A

Last season (Rookie) :19 G, 0 GS, 31.1 IP, 12.4 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 1.44 ERA, 2.75 FIP, 0.734 WHIP, .213 BABIP

Summary: Lo repeated the Appalachian League in his fourth season with the Twins and had remarkable success closing games. However he is 2 years older than the league average player and has faced players who grabbed a wooden bad for the first time in their lives. Might get himself into prospect conversations, but he is not close to being Major League ready

Risk %: 10%

 

C Joe Maloney

Age: 25

Height: 6' 2"

Weight: 190 lb

Highest Level: A+ (in 2013)

Acquired: Signed as an Independent League free agent this off-season

2015 Prospect Rank:NR

Last season (IL) : .337/.432/.559; 433 PA, 14 HR, 18 SB, 57 BB, 106 K.

Summary: Intriguing IL numbers last season, so the Twins took a chance on him. More about him here. Not the kind of player you draft on Rule 5 draft.

Risk %: 5%

 

IF Aderlin Mejia

Age: 23

Height: 5'11"

Weight: 170lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Signed as an International Free Agent for the Dominican Republic

2015 Prospect Rank:NR

Last season (A+/AA) : .231/.313/.285; 305 PA, 1 HR, 7 SB, 34 BB, 37 K.

Summary: Had some flashes in the past, but last season was his fourth season that he spent at least some part at Fort Myers. He is a fan favorite there, but a utility player. More of a release than a draft candidate.

Risk %: 5%

 

SS Heiker Meneses

Age: 24

Height: 5'9"

Weight: 200lb

Highest Level: AAA (2014)

Acquired: Signed as a Minor League Free Agent in 2015

2015 Prospect Rank:NR

Last season (AA) : .259/.317/.300; 386 PA, 0 HR, 15 SB, 24 BB, 72 K.

Summary: Re-signed by the Twins as a minor league free agent again this off-season. More about him here. Definitely there is some intrigue and potential, but not enough to get drafted

Risk %: 25%

 

2B Levi Michael

Age: 24

Height: 5'10"

Weight: 180lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 1st round (30th overall) of 2011

2015 Prospect Rank: 22nd

Last season (AA) : .267/.369/.434; 264 PA, 5 HR, 18 SB, 31 BB, 53 K.

Summary: Never played below high A, was over-slotted and over-assigned when drafted. But he got better each and every season. Better than average defender after his move to second base, his challenge has been staying healthy. However second basement with .804 OPS in AA and excellent judgement of the strike zone do not grow on trees. The exact kind of player a team (especially in the National League) would not mind spending its last roster spot over.

Risk %: 75%

 

RHP Alex Muren

Age: 24

Height: 6'3"

Weight: 200 lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 12th round of 2012

2015 Prospect Rank: N/A

Last season (A+/AA) :44 G, 0 GS, 71.1 IP, 6.8 K/9, 3.0 BB/9, 3.53 ERA, 3.23 FIP, 1.206 WHIP, .273 BABIP

Summary: Muren is organizational depth at this point. He does have his moments but are not enough for someone to draft him.

Risk %: 10%

 

C Carlos Paulino

Age: 26

Height: 6'0"

Weight: 175lb

Highest Level: AAA

Acquired: Singed as a Minor League Free Agent in 2015

2015 Prospect Rank:NR

Last season (AA/AAA) : .262/.328/.337; 193 PA, 0 HR, 0 SB, 17 BB, 15 K.

Summary: Re-signed by the Twins as a minor league free agent again this off-season. Despite being the Twins' de facto number 3 in depth catcher as of today, he does not fit the profile of someone who will be taken in the Rule 5 draft.

Risk %: 25%

 

RHP Greg Peavey

Age: 27

Height: 6'2"

Weight: 185lb

Highest Level: AAA

Acquired: Selected from the Mets in the Minor League portion of the Rule 5 draft in 2014

2015 Prospect Rank: N/A

Last season (AAA/AA) :27 G, 27 GS, 147 IP, 5.3 K/9, 2.4 BB/9, 5.02 ERA, 4.48 FIP, 1.354 WHIP, .287 BABIP

Summary: Peavey is a pitch to contact control artist who can be really good on a good day and really bad on a bad day. And he had more bad days than good last season. Hard to see him drafted, but it is not impossible. Not unlike the starters that the Twins have drafted in the rule 5 draft this decade

Risk %: 40%

 

C Michael Quesada

Age: 25

Height: 6'1"

Weight: 205lb

Highest Level: A+

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 24th Round of 2010

2015 Prospect Rank:NR

Last season (A+) : .151/.239/.198; 240 PA, 0 HR, 0 SB, 21 BB, 73 K.

Summary: Quesada had an abysmal season at Fort Myers at an age 2.5 years older than League average. Has been digressing every season; add a suspension because of drug use and it is a wonder he still is in the Twins' organization. Will not get drafted, unless something freezes over.

Risk %: 1%

 

RHP Dereck Rodriguez

Age: 24

Height: 6'1"

Weight: 180lb

Highest Level: A+

Acquired: Drafted in the 6th round of 2011

2015 Prospect Rank: N/A

Last season (Rk/A/A+) :15 G, 14 GS, 75.1 IP, 7.9 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 3.35 ERA, 3.49 FIP, 1.235 WHIP, .306 BABIP

Summary: The son of Pudge was drafted as an outfielder and now is being converted into a pitcher. Played mostly Rookie ball at Elizabethton with 2 games with the Miracle and 1 with the Lookouts. He is a project; a project that looks good, but not MLB-ready by any means.

Risk %: 20%

 

C Jairo Rodriguez

Age: 27

Height: 5'11"

Weight: 180 lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Signed by the Twins as an International Amateur Free Agent from Venezuela

2015 Prospect Rank:NR

Last season (AA) : .221/.284/.244; 96 PA, 0 HR, 0 SB, 8 BB, 15 K.

Summary: Has been in the Twins' organization for 9 season and was re-signed again this off-season, for his 10th, after a pretty bad performance at Chattanooga. They like him for some reason, but his is a performance that only a parent team would like...

Risk %: 2%

 

1B Reynaldo Rodriguez

 

 

 

Age: 29

Height: 6'0"

Weight: 200 lb

Highest Level: AAA

Acquired: Signed by the Twins as a minor league Free Agent in 2013

2015 Prospect Rank:NR

Last season (AAA) : .255/.307/.446; 551 PA, 16 HR, 13 SB, 39 BB, 82 K.

Summary: Re-signed by the Twins as a minor league free agent again this off-season. A little older than the traditional rule 5 picks, his skills translate well in the majors and could be picked by a team in need of RH bats at the 1B/OF/PH/DH positions.

Risk %: 55%

 

LHP Dan Runzler

Age: 30

Height: 6'4"

Weight: 210lb

Highest Level: MLB (2012)

Acquired: Signed this off-season as a minor league free agent

2015 Prospect Rank: N/A

Last season (AAA) :39 G, 0 GS, 37.2 IP, 9.6 K/9, 6.7 BB/9, 5.26 ERA, 4.56 FIP, 2.018 WHIP, .285 BABIP

Summary: You can read a lot about Runzler here. A very intriguing situation and the only thing that makes me think that he might not get selected is that if a team wanted to give him a 40-man position, they could have done it. However, things change in a month.

Risk %: 45%

 

 

RHP Tim Shibuya

Age: 26

Height: 6'1"

Weight: 190lb

Highest Level: AAA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 23rd round of the 2011 draft

2015 Prospect Rank: N/A

Last season (A+/AA/AAA) :33 G, 4 GS, 63 IP, 5.3 K/9, 1.6 BB/9, 3.57 ERA, 3.98 FIP, 1.222 WHIP, .295 BABIP

Summary: Shibuya, despite his impeccable control is organizational depth at this point. Hard to see any takers

Risk %: 25%

 

RHP Matt Summers

Age: 26

Height: 6'1"

Weight: 205lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 4th round of the 2011 draft

2015 Prospect Rank: N/A

Last season (A+/AA) :26 G, 1 GS, 44.2 IP, 6.0 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 3.63 ERA, 3.45 FIP, 1.187 WHIP, .266 BABIP

Summary: Pretty much the same that was said about Shibuya. However, Summers was a higher round pick in the same draft and did not go that far.

Risk %: 25%

 

 

RHP Todd Van Steensel

Age: 24

Height: 6'1"

Weight: 190 lb

Highest Level: A+

Acquired: Signed by the Twins as a minor league free agent in 2014 (previously pitching for them for 2011)

2015 Prospect Rank: 34

Last season (A+/AA) :46 G, 0 GS, 66 IP, 11 K/9, 4.4 BB/9, 2.32 ERA, 3.33 FIP, 1.288 WHIP, .310 BABIP

Summary: In his first full season as one of the Miracle closers, Van Steensel put good enough numbers to move up to the Chattanooga pen next season, but not good enough to be drafted. He in an interesting prospect who might be a couple seasons away if his fastball plays against better competition, but he is not there yet.

Risk %: 25%

 

UT Logan Wade

Age: 24

Height: 6'1"

Weight: 190 lb

Highest Level: A+

Acquired: Signed by the Twins as an International Free agent from Australia

2015 Prospect Rank:NR; 2014: 37

Last season (A+) : .258/.296/.374; 366 PA, 3 HR, 3 SB, 20 BB, 63 K.

Summary: Wade is an average utility player at Fort Myers who can play all over the field. Not sure that he is ready for AA, much yet for the majors.

Risk %: 5%

 

 

LHP Jason Wheeler

Age: 25

Height: 6'6"

Weight: 255 lb

Highest Level: AAA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 8th round of 2011

2015 Prospect Rank: NR

Last season (AA/AAA) :25 G, 25 GS, 137.2 IP, 5.9 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 5.43 ERA, 4.68 FIP, 1.467 WHIP, .323 BABIP

Summary: Typical Twins' minor league middle of the rotation starter. Pitch to contact pitcher with above average control, hoping to induce ground balls that the defense behind him will turn to outs. Much better success at AA than at AAA last season. He is a lefty. Maybe someone things that with a couple few pitches and a few ticks higher in his FB might turn into an acceptable reliever in the majors. Maybe.

Risk %: 55%

 

UT Stephen Wickens

Age: 26

Height: 5'10"

Weight: 170 lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 33rd round of 2011

2015 Prospect Rank:NR

Last season (A+) : .254/.352/.333; 310 PA, 1 HR, 16 SB, 36 BB, 45 K.

Summary: Steady utility player who has played every position except CF and C. Has value on resting starters for a good minor league team and not hurt the team with the bat or the glove, but that's about it. I do not see him getting selected.

Risk %: 15%

 

LHP Corey Williams

Age: 25

Height: 6'2"

Weight: 205 lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 3th round of 2011

2015 Prospect Rank: NR

Last season (A+/AA) :29 G, 0 GS, 33.12 IP, 7 K/9, 4 BB/9, 2.43 ERA, 2.99 FIP, 1.110 WHIP, .247 BABIP

Summary: Williams is a lefty in the Twins' system with closer staff, but command issues. He was on a quick trajectory to the majors that got derailed with a Tommy John surgery and the loss of all 2014. He returned in 2015 and put good but not great numbers. The Twins know his medicals better than any team, but Williams is the type of guy you add to a 40-man roster because if healthy he can help a team down the stretch better than the likes of Aaron Thompson and Ryan O'Rourke. Also this is exactly the kind of guy who might get drafted for the same reason.

Risk %: 75%

 

RHP Alex Wimmers.

Age: 27

Height: 6'2"

Weight: 212 lb

Highest Level: AA

Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 1st round of 2010 (21st overall)

2015 Prospect Rank: NR; 2014: 40

Last season (AA) :30 G, 18 GS, 115.1 IP, 7.8 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, 4.53 ERA, 3.50 FIP, 1.387 WHIP, .325 BABIP

Summary: Wimmers is the poster boy of the players who get drafted in the Rule 5 draft. Another season removed by Tommy John surgery he put respectable raw numbers in AA and pitched the most innings in his career. A control artist with ground ball tendencies and a strikeout breaking ball, might need a change of scenery. The potential is there and now that he has proven that he can handle the work load, he will find a taker. Surprised if the former 1st Round selection is with the Twins at the conclusion of the Winter Meetings.

Risk %: 85%

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6 Comments


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Nice job! Lots of great information there. Thanks for putting that together.

 

I agree with you on Wimmers I think he will be a very good reliever. Looks like twins are going with younger age and upside for guys they are keeping with the exception being Dean.

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Wimmers, Jones....I don't really see them sticking thru spring training, which would prove to be a rude awakening for them about how good major league batting really is. But we will see. Still remember the Twins losing Dickey in the Rule 5!

 

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My thoughts... 50% = 50/50 that they'll get drafted. 

 

Jose Abreu - 0%

Jason Adam - 0%

Nick Anderson - 1%

Luke Bard - 25%

DJ Baxendale - 25%

Omar Bencomo - 0%

Edgar Corcino - 10%

Sam Gibbons - 15%

Miguel Gonzalez - 0%

Niko Goodrum - 20%

Bryan Haar - 0%

Travis Harrison - 25% 

DJ Hicks - 10%

David Hurlbut - 20%

Cole Johnson - 15%

Zack Jones - 50%

Felix Jorge - 40% 

Marcus Knecht - 0%

Brett Lee - 20%

Kuo-Hua Lo - 5%

Joe Maloney - 0%

Aderlin Mejia - 0%

Heiker Meneses - 0%

Levi Michael - 48%

Alex Muren - 30%

Carlos Paulino - 0%

Greg Peavey - 0%

Michael Quesada - 0%

Dereck Rodriguez - 20%

Jairo Rodriguez - 0%

Reynaldo Rodriguez - 2%

Dan Runzler - 5%

Tim Shibuya - 0%

Matt Summers - 20%

Todd Van Steensel - 0%

Logan Wade - 0%

Jason Wheeler - 30%

Stephen Wickens - 3%

Corey Williams - 46%

Alex Wimmers - 20%

 

Jones, Williams, Michaels and Jorge are the four that have some chance. I have Jones the highest at 50/50. 

 

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How do the AAA and AA portions of this draft work?  I understand for the major league portion that a player would have to remain on the 25 man roster for the duration of the season or be returned to his original club, but how do the AAA and AA portions work?  Will any of the guys above be exposed to these portions?  I know the Twins got Greg Peavey in the AAA section last season...

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  On 11/23/2015 at 2:19 PM, MplsFan said:

How do the AAA and AA portions of this draft work?  I understand for the major league portion that a player would have to remain on the 25 man roster for the duration of the season or be returned to his original club, but how do the AAA and AA portions work?  Will any of the guys above be exposed to these portions?  I know the Twins got Greg Peavey in the AAA section last season...

 

Pretty much the same way that does in the majors:  If a player is not on the AAA roster and he is eligible, he can be drafted in the AAA Rule 5 draft, same with AA etc.   Only difference with the majors is that the drafted player does not have to be added to the AAA roster (or AA etc)

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