An Early Look at Potential Offseason Moves
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I know we have a playoff spot to chase and we should worry about what is happening on the field right now, but I think that it's never a bad idea to look ahead a little bit, especially since the Twins are fading fast and the teams competing with us are probably a little bit better, Toronto for example. With that being said, here is a look at some ideas I have for this offseason.
Likely to leave via Free Agency:
SP Mike Pelfrey: Pelfrey has been a pleasant surprise in the Twins starting rotation this season, posting a 3.65 ERA in 118.1 innings, but that spot in the rotation should belong to Trevor May now, and most certainly should in the future. I have nothing against Palfrey, but Trevor May is a piece of the future that can't keep rotting away in the bullpen.
LHP Brian Duensing: Brian Duensing has had his ups and downs this season, but as a whole he has complied a 5.88 ERA in just 26.0 innings. He had some injuries earlier in the season and has been better lately, but I would be surprised if he stays in Minnesota after putting up lackluster numbers in an already abysmal bullpen.
Might be gone:
RF Torii Hunter: Torii Hunter has most certainly been a positive energy for this team. His presence I do believe has helped Aaron Hicks blossom and I'm sure has been an influence on Byron Buxton while he has been up. However, Torii is finally showing signs of slowing down, as evidenced by his .188/.231/.329 slash in the month of July, equaling a lackluster .560 OPS. The Twins should look to keep Torii in an instructor's role or a coaching role, but I think right field should go to someone like an Aaron Hicks or a Max Kepler.
Top On-Roster Trade Chips:
OF Aaron Hicks: Aaron Hicks has finally blossomed, at least it seems, into the player we all thought he was going to be. He managed a 1.001 OPS in July and had looked good in center field as well. With Byron Buxton right on Hicks's heals, this winter may be a good time to shop Hicks. If not, moving him to right field is a good option as well.
SP Tommy Milone: Milone has been another pleasant surprise for the Twins this year, pitching to a 3.76 ERA in 81.1 Innings this year. He has looked especially good since being recalled from Rochester in early June. Tommy might not net a large prospect return, but if the Twins could get a nice relief pitcher in return, the trade might be worth it, as the Twins have a log jam of starters right now and not enough quality relievers.
3B Trevor Plouffe: While Plouffe has developed into an above-average third baseman, it may be worthwhile to look into moving him. An OPS+ of 107 puts him at 7% above league average. Trading Plouffe could net a decent return while opening up third base for Miguel Sano. Terry Ryan will be reluctant to do this, but it makes sense if the price is right.
DFA Candidates:
A.J. Achter
Logan Darnell
Aaron Thompson
Chris Herrmann
Eric Fryer
Eduardo Nunez
Shane Robinson
Potential Free Agent Targets:
C Alex Avila: We all know this guy. Alex Avila has offensive potential, but has not lived up to the hope he showed in 2011. He has missed a lot of time due to injury this year, but he has a carer OPS+ of 102, though that was largely helped by his 142 OPS+ in 2011. Defensively, he is a solid backstop. His dWar the last several years have been higher than Kurt Suzuki's, so he would be a cheap upgrade from Suzuki, but not a significant one.
C Matt Wieters: Matt Wieters playing like Matt Wieters would be a significant upgrade both at the plate and behind it. The biggest concerns with Wieters is whether or not his arm can withstand being the everyday catcher and also what kind of contract he might demand. It is not everyday that an All-Star catcher hits the open market, so it is kind of a long shot that the Twins will have a shot at him, but it absolutely must be considered. He would provide a force in the middle of the lineup and be a rock behind the plate. That could make Kurt Suzuki into a solid backup catcher.
SS Ian Desmond: Ian Desmond is in the midst of his worst season ever, with a slash of .217/.263/.358 with 11 home runs. Sadly, those numbers would still be an upgrade from the Twins shortstops this season, but a veteran shortstop like Ian Desmond could very easily be a low risk/ high reward project for the Twins and provide them with some stability up the middle which has been needed for so many years.
RHP Tyler Clippard: Tyler Clippard has always been a reliable relief pitcher, posing a career 2.85 ERA in 9 MLB seasons. The Twins are in need of quality relief pitching.
RHP Darren O'Day: Same story as above, a quality reliever who has a good track record, a career 2.35 ERA in 8 seasons.
The Twins really should consider adding two quality set up men in front of Glen Perkins. We see what Kansas City is able to do with Kelvin Herrera, Wade Davis, and Greg Holland. Ned Yost only has to manage a 6 inning game. It takes a ton of pressure off the starting pitchers if you have a shutdown 7th-8th-9th inning bullpen that can be relied on every day.
Terry Ryan certainly has some decisions to make this coming offseason. The Twins are entering a phase where they are about to have more talent than places to put it, leading for some interesting decisions for Terry Ryan.
Thank You to all who read.
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