Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • entries
    15
  • comments
    35
  • views
    9,210

Evaluating the Twins Bullpen: Part I


Boone

1,103 views

 Share

Twins Video

This is the first part in one I envision being a three part examination of the Twins bullpen. In Part I, I will look at the 2015 Twins bullpen as a whole, and compare it to the other bullpens in MLB. In Parts II and III, I will look at the performance of the individual members of the Twins bullpen and then at several players in the upper levels of the Twins minor league system who could be viable replacement options.

There are two main features of the Twins’ bullpen so far in 2015: it’s bad, and it’s old. Let’s start off with the bad. Here is a rundown of how our pen is performing in a number of key categories:

 

ERA: 4.01 (21st in MLB)

FIP: 4.19 (25th in MLB)

WAR: .4 (23)

These numbers make it pretty clear that our bullpen is in the bottom third of the league. Why has our bullpen performed so poorly? The answer, in my opinion, is a combination of a lack of strikeouts and an inability to generate ground balls, which is leading to a high number of home runs. Look for yourself:

K%: 15.6% (30)

BB%: 6.6% (2)

K/BB: 2.34 (22)

GB/FB: 1.09 (27)

HR/9: 1.0 (22)

 

Poor performance in these categories—the three “true outcomes”—makes it pretty difficult to find sustainable success. Therefore, unless the Twins make a dramatic improvement in these peripheral numbers, don’t expect their overall performance to improve.

 

Now, onto the age. In case you weren’t aware, the Twins have a pretty old bullpen, too. The average age of the members of the Twins bullpen, weighted for innings pitched1, is 30.0 years old. I don’t have numbers for the average age of other bullpens in MLB, but I would be willing to bet that the Twins have one of the oldest bullpens in all of baseball.

 

To summarize: in case you hadn’t noticed, the Twins bullpen consists of (1) old pitchers who (2) don’t strikeout many batters and (3) fail to generate many ground balls. The result is one of the worst bullpens in all of baseball. Yes, we have a stud closer, but outside of Perkins, it wouldn’t surprise me if the Twins have the worst bullpen in all of baseball.

 

So why do we care? Obviously, a good bullpen is an important part of a team’s success. But beyond that, having an old bullpen means it’s less likely that our relief pitchers will make significant improvements in their individual performance over the course of the rest of the season. Furthermore, if the Twins do fall out of contention, it would be beneficial, long-term, for the club to give some younger players some experience at the big league level.

 

 

1: The sum of (each pitcher's age multiplied by the percentage of the bullpen's IP that they have accounted for)

 Share

1 Comment


Recommended Comments

It's a patchwork and could easily see the Twins run 20 pitchers thru the bullpen before the season is over, and that is good...or really bad...depending who the final 7 are.

Link to comment
Guest
Add a comment...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...