500 HRs
Twins Video
Looking back on the 2009 International Signing Period, We signed 3 really good productive players who are all still with the Twins today. While that may change soon. Here is some fun with numbers to show what they have done with us.
In 2009 we signed Polanco, Kepler and Sano. Sano was the star of the entire signing period and there was much debate over his actual age that teams were scared off from signing him and we were able to get him for 3.15 million. I think Kepler got 800,000 and Polanco I think got 700,000. feel free to check those numbers. Polanco was viewed at the time of the signing as a defensive SS with his bat the concern. Kepler was seen as a 5 tool player with minimal baseball experience.
As we get closer to some of the players moving on I thought it would be fun to see where they are as a group and where they will likely be when they leave.
Sano currently has 161 HRs with the Twins and he is off to the worst start of his career and injured. He should be back soon and could be released or be given some time at DH to see if he could build some value before the deadline. If he could come back and hit close to a .750-.800 OPS for a few weeks we might find a team we could trade him to for basically nothing and while we would probably have to throw in some salary, We would still get some salary relief from his contract and not have to pay the 2.75 million buyout. That would leave Sano's career with the Twins at 161 - 165 HRs I know I was hoping for more from Sano with something in the neighborhood of a few 40 HR seasons. I am also surprised he regressed so fast as I expected solid production from him into his age 32-33 seasons anyways with all of our young options at this point I think its time to move on from Sano and I also think that is the consensus here as well.
Kepler is currently at 127 and should finish the year around 140 +- a few. Kepler has 1 more year guaranteed and a buyout. I can see the Twins going either way on the buyout so lets assume they keep him that season. Kepler tends to hit around 20 HRs a season. so with both seasons, he would end up around 180-185 HRs
Polanco is at 89 HRs and is all over the board. He has 3 seasons after this one including 2 option years. I expect the Twins to pick them up if he is healthy. To project his level of production is hard so I am going with 20 HRs per season. with 11 more this one. That puts him at 160 HRs at the end of his contract.
In Total there is a fair to good chance that these three players who signed for less than 5 million will produce just over 500 HRs for us during their careers. I hope to see Kepler and Polanco extended so they can increase that total. It is definitely fun to follow.
- mikelink45, Dman and Shaitan
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