Good list! Personally, I would move Julien to ~20.

Should be some interesting discussions when deciding who to add to the 40 man. It looks like there are at least 5 that NEED to be added.

Nice list. I really like the bite-sized snippets and length of the list to catch up on these guys mid-season.

A tip, though… if you include a feature image on each blog post, you’re more likely to get clicks from users browsing the site. The featured image field is just below the content field on the editing page, I believe. 

I'm curious, Is Moran considered a prospect or not.   His results seem pretty good compared to some on the list. 

Nice list as always.  IMO you have Julien way to low. If you like Steer at 16 Julien is his Twin and possibly the better hitter. You mention Steer's 400 OBP and Julien's is nearly 500.  Either you need to like Steer less or Julien more or it doesn't make sense for me.

I thought I was the high man on Sands but you have him even higher than I do. I would Swap Sands for Winder.  Winder is just as good and has been more durable.  Also I admit I have a bias, but the K rate for Wallner is too large and his BABIP (500) too high to consider his numbers anything but a mirage at this point.  I think you have him too high especially for the SSS he has.  No one likes Sano's K rate and Wallner is at that rate in high A ball.  Not a good sign.

I don't love Sabato at number 9 but his eye at the plate is good and have to believe he can fix some of that swing and miss eventually.  He has kept his OBP high so that is good.  I expected harder contact from him as well but his weeny 676 OPS means he has been mostly a singles hitter so far.  He has a long ways to go but his underlying numbers look better than Wallner's with the exception of power to this point.  I can live with him at 9 I was just hoping for more from him this year.

We have a few difference of opinion but not many.  Thanks for the list.

I also see 5 - 6 to be protected.  Though 5 seems to me the number most of us can agree on.  Nice list. As stated above Moran is an interesting case.  Do not know where he ranks.  A few other pitchers doing well like Vallimont, what is his position and does he need to be protected. 

One grip I have with the FO is that they gave up on some pitchers too soon, and some of them are doing well. (Wells for example).

Slim pickings, mates.

5 hours ago, Dman said:

Nice list as always.  IMO you have Julien way to low. If you like Steer at 16 Julien is his Twin and possibly the better hitter. You mention Steer's 400 OBP and Julien's is nearly 500.  Either you need to like Steer less or Julien more or it doesn't make sense for me.

 

(Both moved up a level today by the way) Julien and Steer are an interesting comparison/contrast.  Both have great W/K rates and such.  The differences seem to be in power, favoring Steer, and speed, favoring Julien.  But also:

Julien's stats are odd in a way that makes me a bit apprehensive. He has a really high BABIP .451 that is not sustainable and has more walks/HBP (27% of PA) than hits (22%),  I imagine that walk rate likely won't last either.  He's also struck out a lot (26% of PA) considering his relatively low power totals.

Steer on the other hand has a much lower BABIP (.283)  lower K rate (15%) and higher slugging %. 

8 hours ago, annismark said:

I'm curious, Is Moran considered a prospect or not.   His results seem pretty good compared to some on the list. 

He's #32 on my board, his Tool Grades from Fangraphs is keeping him lower on the list than the others, but he probably shouldn't be 10 spots behind Cano.

8 hours ago, Dman said:

Also I admit I have a bias, but the K rate for Wallner is too large and his BABIP (500) too high to consider his numbers anything but a mirage at this point

Wallner was my 8th prospect originally and the top 3 graduated, so it's hard to knock him down much lower after just 75 PAs. I don't think you'll see any of the others rate Miranda over Wallner like I did, at least this high.

8 hours ago, Dman said:

I don't love Sabato at number 9 but his eye at the plate is good and have to believe he can fix some of that swing and miss eventually.  He has kept his OBP high so that is good.

Sabato was originally ranked #9 and was essentially knocked down 3 spots as I explained above. I'm also being more lenient on guys who are in their first season - Rooker, on the other hand, has had plenty of time, hence him dropping like a stone.

On 6/26/2021 at 9:54 PM, SteelDodo said:

Good list! Personally, I would move Julien to ~20.

I guess I'm not feeling the hype quite as much on him. His .490 OBP is insane.

16 hours ago, annismark said:

(Both moved up a level today by the way) Julien and Steer are an interesting comparison/contrast.  Both have great W/K rates and such.  The differences seem to be in power, favoring Steer, and speed, favoring Julien.  But also:

Julien's stats are odd in a way that makes me a bit apprehensive. He has a really high BABIP .451 that is not sustainable and has more walks/HBP (27% of PA) than hits (22%),  I imagine that walk rate likely won't last either.  He's also struck out a lot (26% of PA) considering his relatively low power totals.

Steer on the other hand has a much lower BABIP (.283)  lower K rate (15%) and higher slugging %. 

By saying they are Twins I was stretching a bit.  As you pointed out they have their differences.  The main thing they had in common to me was they both walk about as much as they strike out and that has led both of them to 900 OPS's.  Like you I like Steer's line better as it looks stronger.  He strikes out less and his BABIP is normalized in fact it looks like it could improve some. His approach looks sustainable.

While I agree Julien has some swing and miss I think he improves that as he gets more comfortable attacking breaking stuff.  HIs 26% K rate while not ideal is not over the the dreaded 30% mark and his walks essentially offset his K rate right now so his K rate seems more like a solution in search of a problem than a problem in search of a solution to me. There are not a lot of hitters in MiLB with K rates lower than 20% and Twins top prospects Wallner and Sabato have essentially 40% rates so I assume you would be low on or have deep concerns about them then?  

I don't see how his walk rate is sustainable but he really has a good eye and that is what makes me think he will be a good to elite prospect.  When players don't chase or swing at bad pitches they force pitchers to pitch more in the zone.  That leads him to get better pitch's to hit which should help him have a higher BABIP because balls over the plate are in general more likely to lead to hits. I agree with you that his BABIP is high and not sustainable it is going to drop.  I am not too worried about that though as once he comes into more power (He hit for Power in college) even if his BABIP comes down his OPS can still be high.  It might take a year or two for his power to show but I believe it will be there.  I like his current approach of having a good eye and just focusing on making contact.  The power will come but he needs to be able to handle the tougher stuff pitchers are throwing at him first. 

You can say there are concerns about pretty much every player but I think with all the data points and things he has going for him he looks like a very good bet to make it IMO and yes I still believe that in time he can be as good or better than Steer.  I get that the current numbers don't show it but if you look at what Steer did in 2019 at A ball it was far less than Julien did in his first try.  So there will be room for improvement.

Lewis, Miranda, Sands, Winder and Enlow all need to be protected.  

Palacios could be on either side of the 40 line when it's all settled.  His fate may lie in what the return looks like with the assumed deadline deals.

Barring a second-half explosion, gambles can probably be made with Maciel and Javier.

3 hours ago, MMMordabito said:

Lewis, Miranda, Sands, Winder and Enlow all need to be protected.  

Palacios could be on either side of the 40 line when it's all settled.  His fate may lie in what the return looks like with the assumed deadline deals.

Barring a second-half explosion, gambles can probably be made with Maciel and Javier.

Agreed, right now I would add Palacios simply because we don't have many pure SS prospects. I would be OK losing Javier, since I have my doubts that he'll ever hit well in the majors.

On 6/29/2021 at 10:35 AM, Dman said:

By saying they are Twins I was stretching a bit.  As you pointed out they have their differences.  The main thing they had in common to me was they both walk about as much as they strike out and that has led both of them to 900 OPS's.  Like you I like Steer's line better as it looks stronger.  He strikes out less and his BABIP is normalized in fact it looks like it could improve some. His approach looks sustainable.

While I agree Julien has some swing and miss I think he improves that as he gets more comfortable attacking breaking stuff.  HIs 26% K rate while not ideal is not over the the dreaded 30% mark and his walks essentially offset his K rate right now so his K rate seems more like a solution in search of a problem than a problem in search of a solution to me. There are not a lot of hitters in MiLB with K rates lower than 20% and Twins top prospects Wallner and Sabato have essentially 40% rates so I assume you would be low on or have deep concerns about them then?  

I don't see how his walk rate is sustainable but he really has a good eye and that is what makes me think he will be a good to elite prospect.  When players don't chase or swing at bad pitches they force pitchers to pitch more in the zone.  That leads him to get better pitch's to hit which should help him have a higher BABIP because balls over the plate are in general more likely to lead to hits. I agree with you that his BABIP is high and not sustainable it is going to drop.  I am not too worried about that though as once he comes into more power (He hit for Power in college) even if his BABIP comes down his OPS can still be high.  It might take a year or two for his power to show but I believe it will be there.  I like his current approach of having a good eye and just focusing on making contact.  The power will come but he needs to be able to handle the tougher stuff pitchers are throwing at him first. 

You can say there are concerns about pretty much every player but I think with all the data points and things he has going for him he looks like a very good bet to make it IMO and yes I still believe that in time he can be as good or better than Steer.  I get that the current numbers don't show it but if you look at what Steer did in 2019 at A ball it was far less than Julien did in his first try.  So there will be room for improvement.

On Julien: He also leads the entire organization in Stolen Bases (at a 91% success rate), which is the development of a tool he wasn't necessarily considered to have.