Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • entries
    194
  • comments
    801
  • views
    409,731

Observations by an old guy from the series


mikelink45

2,219 views

 Share

Twins Video

blog-0272085001540476775.jpgThe Dodgers may win. The Red Sox could see their magic disappear - this is baseball after all, but there are some story lines that I have really liked and wanted to point out. One of which is that talent - not analytics wins games. Sorry Aaron Gleeman, but when we retire APBA and other games and get to the teams and games that count there is much more than probability. So what are my take-aways so far?

 

  1. Relief pitchers can't match great starters. Milwaukee was a fun experiment in defying the tradition of starters and relievers, but in fact their relievers wore out. This over emphasis on Bullpen arms has a draw back because no one can pitch 162 games - sorry Mike Marshall I know you tried. And by the end of the year the accumulated games wear the pitchers down. Did anyone see the same Jeffress in the play-offs that succeeded in the regular season? The key games for the Brewers were when Chacin and Miley started and took care of some innings to take pressure off the pen. The Red Sox Bullpen has been lights out - but Price and Sales took some innings off the board first. The Dodgers got too smart with all its match ups and not only called on Madsen one too many times but shut down Baez when he had the momentum to stop the Sox.
  2. Strikeouts do matter. Look at the Red Sox. Down two strikes they do not give in, they do not go for the big whiff, they put the ball in play and then something happens. Of course it does not work every time, but a strike out is an out - every time. Red Sox players are not without power, but they are also not without speed and excitement. This is a team exuding what the great Rickey Henderson once had. They upset the other team, the pitchers, the catchers, the managers.
  3. The Dodgers have shown in the first two games that you should throw out the book sometimes. They put their good hitters on the bench for match ups that have lesser results. Their formula looks old, although home cooking could fix that.
  4. I really do think that the best teams from each league are playing each other and that is great. While I rooted for the A's and the Brewers, their styles were fun and unconventional, I am still pleased to see the teams with the best stars and the best organizations playing for the championship.

 

 

My last note for the Twins - forget the Kershaw sweepstakes. He is aging and will still want a long term contract that in the end will look like the Pujols deal.

 Share

4 Comments


Recommended Comments

Good post. I especially agree with points 1 and 2. I thought the Brewer/Dodger series probably turned when Miley was pulled when he gave up that single after retiring 16 straight batters. The Brewers got out of that inning all right, but they went to their bullpen earlier then they probably had to. Miley was still pitching well and had more in the tank. If you run 4 or more relievers out there, the odds increase that one won't be on his game. Relieving a starter before he runs into trouble,or shows he is losing his stuff or has reached his pitch limit, seems foolish to me. Even in a playoff game it is overmanaging and will often lead to trouble.

 

Your 2nd point is good as well. Contact skills and on base skills are under valued. Most of the new stats value power above on base skills. Not too many years ago many new stat guys were saying that not making an out was the most important thing a batter could do. Now it seems power trumps that skill.

 

I think eventually starting pitching and contact skills for hitters will be re-emphasized creating a better balance in baseball.

Link to comment

Yeah, the Sox seem to have rediscovered the "2 strike" approach. Put the freaking ball in play and make the other team field it.

 

It's really that simple.

 

Also, I think the shifts are/have killed the Dodgers. I cannot tell you how many times I've seen a ball go right through the classic position for 2B because the infielder was shifted.

Link to comment

The contact part is important. Not making outs was the genisis of Moneyball. Managing and evaluating talent in baseball should still be identifying who has the physical tools to drive a ball out of the park, or deep into a gap, regularly. Then encouraging and refining that tool for those players. It should also include a reiteration(s) of an age old, but never will change, fact. When you are down in the count, you are hitting the pitchers pitch. And unless it's a horrid mistake, it's not gonna be your pitch. There are some constants that cannot be changed or altered by a new approach. Bases are still 90' apart, and pitchers don't throw the same stuff 1-2 as they do 2-0. If you don't believe me, ask Sano. But you had best wait till he figures it out himself.

Link to comment
Guest
Add a comment...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...