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3B - Are we set or in Need?


mikelink45

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blog-0861312001536103670.jpgA few days okay I wrote about Polanco and SS and I found him wanting as a defensive and future SS for a championship team, but what about 3B? Are we set with Sano? In this article https://calltothepen.com/2013/02/07/bold-prospect-comparisons-miguel-sano/ written five years ago Sano was the third best prospect in the majors, "Sano potential has a 70-grade power tool and 70-grade arm strength. Meaning he will be expected to hit 35 or more bombs a year and have one of the stronger arms in the league. His hit tool should be about major league average, maybe slightly below average. That is a .250-.270 hitter. His fielding is below average and so is his speed.He may swipe double digits in his early years but it isn’t considered a part of his overall game."

 

Well that might be overly optimistic. However, along with Byron Buxton, he was the cornerstone for the future. This year Sano has a -0.4 WAR, he is batting 202, has a long stint in the minors to make corrections and is back as a fixture at 3B. And his comps, according to Baseball Reference are pretty bleak in my assessment:

Michael Conforto (960.5)

Randal Grichuk (959.3)

Adam Duvall (959.2)

Chris Duncan (957.3)

Eric Thames (947.2)

Domingo Santana (944.1)

Bud Souchock (943.5)

Travis Shaw (942.4)

Dusty Rhodes (939.5)

Chuck Essegian (939.4)

 

In 182 MLB games he is batting 245, but this year he is batting 202. Last year he had 3.1 offensive WAR and this year he is 0.1 Offensive WAR and -0.5 Defensive WAR.

We knew that he would not be Brooks Robinson or Pie Traynor or any great 3B, but his hitting would make up for it. It has not. In Fantasy sports - CBS https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/rankings/h2h/3B/ he is not in the top 40. I am sure that must be wrong. On ESPN he currently ranks 49th at 3B. https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/rankings/h2h/3B/

 

I went to many of the rankings and he does not rank except in the mind of the Twins fans. So what's up. Is he the future star or a bust? Is the another Mark Reynolds, or Kingman? Or is he someone we can build around. Combine Buxton and Sano and we have lousy BA, good HRs, Excellent fielding (last two categories apply to only one).

 

When I looked at Polanco I asked if a team that looks at a future championship can put Polanco as there every day SS. I have to ask the same for Sano. But who can replace him? I know some will expect to resign Escobar - I don't. But among prospects who is it? Blankenship? Move Polanco to 3B?

 

I have this desire to have a World Series again and that means I want better than average at every position. Right now 3B is my second question mark.

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Polanco is considered a place-setter, unless he really takes off. He should've been a second baseman, but then you need to ask if that is the position for Nick Gordon. With Royce Lewis and Wander Javier coming up, the Twins real weakness is, perhaps, third base. Can Sano sustain a year at the position, or would he be better served as a DH who also plays some first.

 

We all think Escobar should return. But would you trust him there for three years, and by then the Twins should have SOMEONE, ANYONE up to take his place.

 

Decisions that have to be made.

 

Right now, expect more patchwork for 2019. Maybe some promise in 2020. But the team of the future should be taking the field from prospects land, with a few free bodies, in 2021. Seriously, how many current names will be around the dugout and bullpen in 2021?

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Where are the RH power bats? The LHB friendly Metrodome is long gone and the current stadium is where LH power goes to die. Management has known about this ever since groundbreaking on the new stadium. SO WHERE ARE THE RH POWER BATS?

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I really hope the Twins front office also wants more than average players across the board. As I watch the current team--actually I can't stand to watch them--I see nothing but mediocrity. We can't replace them all, so we have to hope that an influx of maybe 3 great additions on offense and at least one SP will get the "good hitting and pitching is contagious" thing going. How could they look so good a year ago and so bad now?

 

No, we can't give up on Buxton and Sano, but it doesn't matter if we have confidence in them. They have to have the confidence in themselves, but how will they get that? If Twins can't get them to believe and achieve we have 2019 looking way too much like this year as I don't see any help coming from the minors for the start of next year other than Romero. I feel about 75% that Sano will be an above average hitter and remain an adequate 3B. My belief that Buxton's bat will allow him out of the minors, I'm afraid, is around 20%. I was happy that he was not promoted in September, not as a punitive measure as much as now he can get healthy and come into camp next season with a major chip on his shoulder out to prove his doubters wrong.

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I really hope the Twins front office also wants more than average players across the board. As I watch the current team--actually I can't stand to watch them--I see nothing but mediocrity. We can't replace them all, so we have to hope that an influx of maybe 3 great additions on offense and at least one SP will get the "good hitting and pitching is contagious" thing going. How could they look so good a year ago and so bad now?

 

No, we can't give up on Buxton and Sano, but it doesn't matter if we have confidence in them. They have to have the confidence in themselves, but how will they get that? If Twins can't get them to believe and achieve we have 2019 looking way too much like this year as I don't see any help coming from the minors for the start of next year other than Romero. I feel about 75% that Sano will be an above average hitter and remain an adequate 3B. My belief that Buxton's bat will allow him out of the minors, I'm afraid, is around 20%. I was happy that he was not promoted in September, not as a punitive measure as much as now he can get healthy and come into camp next season with a major chip on his shoulder out to prove his doubters wrong.

I think we are all in this conundrum.  For years we have looked forward to this graduating class and now they have been here for three years and the performance is not there.   Do we keep hoping?  Can all of them step up?  The Twins fans are in a difficult place. 

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Well, the Twins allowed Escobar to go away. The ball is in Escobar's court and now get to find out how much money someone iwill throw his way. He should take as much as he can get in the short-term. If he stays healthy, he can jave a job (not necessarily a regular job) for years to come.

 

So...three years and how much money. $25? $30? What do you think he will give you with his bat in 2021?

 

Looks like Sano WILL be the third baseman. They have to be tough on his off-season. He needs to work - and work hard - especially considering his "time off" in 2018. He can play the position, but he can also get injured. Is it safer to play him at first base? If you are going to make a position change, I would rather see Max Kepler explored for first base...especially if both guys are going to bat less than, say, .250.

 

Sano will be given another chance next season - UNLESS the Twins do explore Escobar. I hope they make an early offer to Eduarco. At this point, I almost ask the question: Would you rather give $20-30 million for up to three years to Escobar or Joe Mauer if you can have one, but not both?

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